Trader consensus around 21–23°C for Warsaw's July 27 maximum reflects short-range model agreement on moderate conditions following June's record heatwave, with Atlantic air and increasing cloud cover or scattered thundery showers limiting daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and global ensembles shows highs near seasonal norms of 23–25°C, though afternoon convective activity could cap peaks or allow brief warmer spells depending on timing. Recent model runs emphasize wind shifts and moisture that differentiate the 21°C versus 23°C scenarios, while newer updates expected within 24–48 hours from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will clarify resolution criteria tied to the daily official maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 27?
23°C 36%
22°C 30%
24°C 20%
21°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
30%
23°C
36%
24°C
20%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 36%
22°C 30%
24°C 20%
21°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
30%
23°C
36%
24°C
20%
25°C
3%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 25, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 21–23°C for Warsaw's July 27 maximum reflects short-range model agreement on moderate conditions following June's record heatwave, with Atlantic air and increasing cloud cover or scattered thundery showers limiting daytime heating. Official guidance from sources such as the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) and global ensembles shows highs near seasonal norms of 23–25°C, though afternoon convective activity could cap peaks or allow brief warmer spells depending on timing. Recent model runs emphasize wind shifts and moisture that differentiate the 21°C versus 23°C scenarios, while newer updates expected within 24–48 hours from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will clarify resolution criteria tied to the daily official maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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