MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 14°C earlier today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid persistent heavy rain and gale-force southerly winds from a stalled low-pressure system over New Zealand. NIWA forecasts align, projecting no higher than 14°C under thick cloud cover and cool airflow, a departure from April's typical 16–17°C highs due to the front's arrival overnight after yesterday's 16.4°C. Uncertainty remains minimal as evening sets in, though a rare brief clearing with solar heating could challenge this if winds ease unexpectedly; updated hourly METARs and evening observations will finalize the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on April 20?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 20?
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$155,843 ปริมาณ
$155,843 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$155,843 ปริมาณ
$155,843 ปริมาณ
Apr 20, 2026
9°C or below
$5,576 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$4,922 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$2,809 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$3,881 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$6,484 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$46,780 ปริมาณ
Yes
15°C
$17,015 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$41,270 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$14,737 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$6,643 ปริมาณ
No
19°C or higher
$5,727 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 14°C earlier today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid persistent heavy rain and gale-force southerly winds from a stalled low-pressure system over New Zealand. NIWA forecasts align, projecting no higher than 14°C under thick cloud cover and cool airflow, a departure from April's typical 16–17°C highs due to the front's arrival overnight after yesterday's 16.4°C. Uncertainty remains minimal as evening sets in, though a rare brief clearing with solar heating could challenge this if winds ease unexpectedly; updated hourly METARs and evening observations will finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 18, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,843วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 14°C earlier today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid persistent heavy rain and gale-force southerly winds from a stalled low-pressure system over New Zealand. NIWA forecasts align, projecting no higher than 14°C under thick cloud cover and cool airflow, a departure from April's typical 16–17°C highs due to the front's arrival overnight after yesterday's 16.4°C. Uncertainty remains minimal as evening sets in, though a rare brief clearing with solar heating could challenge this if winds ease unexpectedly; updated hourly METARs and evening observations will finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$155,843วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 18, 2026, 12:19 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
MetService observations at Wellington International Airport—the market's resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 14°C earlier today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability amid persistent heavy rain and gale-force southerly winds from a stalled low-pressure system over New Zealand. NIWA forecasts align, projecting no higher than 14°C under thick cloud cover and cool airflow, a departure from April's typical 16–17°C highs due to the front's arrival overnight after yesterday's 16.4°C. Uncertainty remains minimal as evening sets in, though a rare brief clearing with solar heating could challenge this if winds ease unexpectedly; updated hourly METARs and evening observations will finalize the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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