Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 13?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 13?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$54,366 ปริมาณ
$54,366 ปริมาณ
Jun 13, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$54,366 ปริมาณ
$54,366 ปริมาณ
Jun 13, 2026
19°C or below
$5,557 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$409 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$410 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,447 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$3,386 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$13,494 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$6,648 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$3,847 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,598 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$4,966 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$9,604 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,366วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$54,366วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 13, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 11, 2026, 12:23 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current meteorological forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on a 24°C daytime maximum for Wuhan on June 13, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light winds, and limited solar heating during the early summer transition. This strong consensus underpins the market's 99.8% implied probability for 24°C, reflecting traders' confidence in official station measurements from the Wuhan region. Recent model runs show minimal variability, consistent with first-half June climatology where highs often range 19–28°C before seasonal warming accelerates. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted shift such as rapid clearing or stronger advection, though ensemble guidance indicates low likelihood before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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