Traders have priced the highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 28 at 24°C with near-certainty due to real-time surface observations and model consensus showing persistent overcast skies, northeasterly flow, and a cold-air surge suppressing daytime heating. Official station data and hourly readings indicate temperatures climbed only to around 24°C amid high humidity near 70-100% and minimal insolation, aligning with climatological cooling trends for late August in the region. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified meteorological conditions rather than forecasts alone. A rapid shift to clear skies or stronger southerly advection could allow brief warming above the threshold before sunset, though current atmospheric stability makes such reversal unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 28?
24°C 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$5,154 ปริมาณ
$5,154 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 99.8%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
25°C <1%
$5,154 ปริมาณ
$5,154 ปริมาณ
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
100%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have priced the highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 28 at 24°C with near-certainty due to real-time surface observations and model consensus showing persistent overcast skies, northeasterly flow, and a cold-air surge suppressing daytime heating. Official station data and hourly readings indicate temperatures climbed only to around 24°C amid high humidity near 70-100% and minimal insolation, aligning with climatological cooling trends for late August in the region. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified meteorological conditions rather than forecasts alone. A rapid shift to clear skies or stronger southerly advection could allow brief warming above the threshold before sunset, though current atmospheric stability makes such reversal unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย