Powell's 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader sentiment on early departure by late 2026 centers on limited political pressure from the Trump administration, including prior DOJ scrutiny of headquarters renovations that has since stalled, against strong institutional safeguards that permit removal only for cause. Powell has publicly committed to remaining on the board for an undetermined period to defend monetary policy independence, with no recent economic data releases, FOMC communications, or regulatory filings altering this stance. Market-implied odds reflect the high bar for voluntary exit or successful challenge before the statutory endpoint, though any renewed administration efforts could introduce volatility around board dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$447,881 ปริมาณ
December 31
11%
$447,881 ปริมาณ
December 31
11%
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070be91...This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070be91...Powell's 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor runs through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026 when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader sentiment on early departure by late 2026 centers on limited political pressure from the Trump administration, including prior DOJ scrutiny of headquarters renovations that has since stalled, against strong institutional safeguards that permit removal only for cause. Powell has publicly committed to remaining on the board for an undetermined period to defend monetary policy independence, with no recent economic data releases, FOMC communications, or regulatory filings altering this stance. Market-implied odds reflect the high bar for voluntary exit or successful challenge before the statutory endpoint, though any renewed administration efforts could introduce volatility around board dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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