Labour's Amanda De Ryk leads trader consensus at 65% implied probability for the 7 May 2026 Lewisham mayoral election, reflecting the party's unchallenged hold on the office since its 2002 creation—most recently with Brenda Dacres winning 52% in the 2024 by-election before her January 2026 resignation for the House of Lords. Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava trails at 32%, buoyed by recent defections giving Greens four council seats and projections of major gains against Labour's projected 33 of 54 seats, signaling a competitive challenge in this first-past-the-post contest. Reform UK's Peter Newman at 21% draws national momentum, while independents like Kayode Damali, Josh Matthews, and Roger Mighton hover around 19%, with Conservatives and TUSC under 1%. Voter registration closes 20 April, postal applications 21 April.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAmanda De Ryk 66%
Liam Shrivastava 32%
Peter Newman 20%
Kayode Damali 1.0%
Amanda De Ryk
66%
Liam Shrivastava
32%
Peter Newman
20%
Kayode Damali
18%
Josh Matthews
18%
Roger Mighton
18%
Jay Coward
1%
Sylbourne Sydial
<1%
Amanda De Ryk 66%
Liam Shrivastava 32%
Peter Newman 20%
Kayode Damali 1.0%
Amanda De Ryk
66%
Liam Shrivastava
32%
Peter Newman
20%
Kayode Damali
18%
Josh Matthews
18%
Roger Mighton
18%
Jay Coward
1%
Sylbourne Sydial
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 17, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Lewisham as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Lewisham Council.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Labour's Amanda De Ryk leads trader consensus at 65% implied probability for the 7 May 2026 Lewisham mayoral election, reflecting the party's unchallenged hold on the office since its 2002 creation—most recently with Brenda Dacres winning 52% in the 2024 by-election before her January 2026 resignation for the House of Lords. Green Party councillor Liam Shrivastava trails at 32%, buoyed by recent defections giving Greens four council seats and projections of major gains against Labour's projected 33 of 54 seats, signaling a competitive challenge in this first-past-the-post contest. Reform UK's Peter Newman at 21% draws national momentum, while independents like Kayode Damali, Josh Matthews, and Roger Mighton hover around 19%, with Conservatives and TUSC under 1%. Voter registration closes 20 April, postal applications 21 April.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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