**Persistent humidity, cloud cover from a stationary front, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling are keeping forecast overnight lows for Busan on August 30 clustered near 24–26°C across major models.** The Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance show a warm, moist airmass with daytime highs near 29–31°C and tropical-night conditions (minima above 25°C) favored by southwest flow and 50–80% rain/storm chances that suppress temperature drops. Historical climatology for late August places typical minima around 23–25°C, but current steering patterns and high dew points reduce the odds of significant cooling below 23°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range plus residual model spread on exact cloud timing and frontal position, with lower-probability tails for 22°C or below or 28°C+ hinging on unexpected clear spells or stronger advection. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Satellite Center and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Busan on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 30?
22°C or below 62%
28°C 49%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
62%
23°C
48%
24°C
48%
25°C
26%
26°C
26%
27°C
25%
28°C
49%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
47%
22°C or below 62%
28°C 49%
23°C 48%
24°C 48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
22°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
62%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
32°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent humidity, cloud cover from a stationary front, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling are keeping forecast overnight lows for Busan on August 30 clustered near 24–26°C across major models.**
The Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance show a warm, moist airmass with daytime highs near 29–31°C and tropical-night conditions (minima above 25°C) favored by southwest flow and 50–80% rain/storm chances that suppress temperature drops. Historical climatology for late August places typical minima around 23–25°C, but current steering patterns and high dew points reduce the odds of significant cooling below 23°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range plus residual model spread on exact cloud timing and frontal position, with lower-probability tails for 22°C or below or 28°C+ hinging on unexpected clear spells or stronger advection. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Satellite Center and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent humidity, cloud cover from a stationary front, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling are keeping forecast overnight lows for Busan on August 30 clustered near 24–26°C across major models.**
The Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance show a warm, moist airmass with daytime highs near 29–31°C and tropical-night conditions (minima above 25°C) favored by southwest flow and 50–80% rain/storm chances that suppress temperature drops. Historical climatology for late August places typical minima around 23–25°C, but current steering patterns and high dew points reduce the odds of significant cooling below 23°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range plus residual model spread on exact cloud timing and frontal position, with lower-probability tails for 22°C or below or 28°C+ hinging on unexpected clear spells or stronger advection. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Satellite Center and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent humidity, cloud cover from a stationary front, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling are keeping forecast overnight lows for Busan on August 30 clustered near 24–26°C across major models.** The Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble guidance show a warm, moist airmass with daytime highs near 29–31°C and tropical-night conditions (minima above 25°C) favored by southwest flow and 50–80% rain/storm chances that suppress temperature drops. Historical climatology for late August places typical minima around 23–25°C, but current steering patterns and high dew points reduce the odds of significant cooling below 23°C. Market-implied probabilities reflect this narrow range plus residual model spread on exact cloud timing and frontal position, with lower-probability tails for 22°C or below or 28°C+ hinging on unexpected clear spells or stronger advection. Updated runs from the National Meteorological Satellite Center and global ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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