Current short-range forecasts from NWS and private models place Dallas overnight lows for August 25 in the low-to-mid 80s amid persistent southerly flow, high pressure, and limited cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling. Ensemble spreads and minor differences in projected dew points or wind speeds create tight clustering around 82–87 °F bins, with traders weighting recent model runs that show only marginal overnight relief from the ongoing heat. Historical late-August averages near 75–77 °F underscore the anomalous warmth, while the absence of an imminent frontal passage keeps downside risk to the 77 °F-or-below outcome limited at 14.5 %.