Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a typical late-August subtropical pattern over Miami, with a warm, humid air mass under light easterly to southeasterly flow keeping overnight lows in the lower 80s. Forecast overnight minimums for the night of August 24–25 center around 81–83°F amid partly cloudy skies and dew points near 76–78°F, limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 80–81°F bin, as the absence of any frontal passage or drier air mass has prevented the cooler readings that would shift probabilities toward 78–79°F. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 78°F, but the current elevated baseline reflects above-normal sea-surface temperatures and persistent moisture that traders appear to have priced in.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 25?
80-81°F 41%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 15%
84-85°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
69°F or below
2%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
15%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
7%
88°F or higher
2%
80-81°F 41%
78-79°F 27%
82-83°F 15%
84-85°F 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
69°F or below
$27 ปริมาณ
2%
70-71°F
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
72-73°F
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
74-75°F
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
76-77°F
$81 ปริมาณ
10%
78-79°F
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
80-81°F
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
82-83°F
$20 ปริมาณ
15%
84-85°F
$74 ปริมาณ
11%
86-87°F
$10 ปริมาณ
7%
88°F or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a typical late-August subtropical pattern over Miami, with a warm, humid air mass under light easterly to southeasterly flow keeping overnight lows in the lower 80s. Forecast overnight minimums for the night of August 24–25 center around 81–83°F amid partly cloudy skies and dew points near 76–78°F, limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 80–81°F bin, as the absence of any frontal passage or drier air mass has prevented the cooler readings that would shift probabilities toward 78–79°F. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 78°F, but the current elevated baseline reflects above-normal sea-surface temperatures and persistent moisture that traders appear to have priced in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$237วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a typical late-August subtropical pattern over Miami, with a warm, humid air mass under light easterly to southeasterly flow keeping overnight lows in the lower 80s. Forecast overnight minimums for the night of August 24–25 center around 81–83°F amid partly cloudy skies and dew points near 76–78°F, limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 80–81°F bin, as the absence of any frontal passage or drier air mass has prevented the cooler readings that would shift probabilities toward 78–79°F. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 78°F, but the current elevated baseline reflects above-normal sea-surface temperatures and persistent moisture that traders appear to have priced in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$237วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a typical late-August subtropical pattern over Miami, with a warm, humid air mass under light easterly to southeasterly flow keeping overnight lows in the lower 80s. Forecast overnight minimums for the night of August 24–25 center around 81–83°F amid partly cloudy skies and dew points near 76–78°F, limiting radiational cooling. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 80–81°F bin, as the absence of any frontal passage or drier air mass has prevented the cooler readings that would shift probabilities toward 78–79°F. Historical climatology shows average August lows near 78°F, but the current elevated baseline reflects above-normal sea-surface temperatures and persistent moisture that traders appear to have priced in.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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