Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on July 20?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 20?
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$16,454 ปริมาณ
$16,454 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
Yes
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
82-83°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$16,454 ปริมาณ
$16,454 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
71°F or below
$399 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$409 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$1,160 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$1,206 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$1,282 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$2,466 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$3,535 ปริมาณ
Yes
84-85°F
$2,033 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$754 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$493 ปริมาณ
No
90°F or higher
$2,717 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,454วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,454วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 80–83°F for Miami’s July 20 low, reflecting the subtropical marine influence that typically caps overnight cooling near 78–82°F in mid-July. High humidity and frequent cloud cover suppress radiative heat loss, while Atlantic sea-surface temperatures near 86°F maintain a warm boundary layer. Recent model runs show no strong cold front or unusual subsidence that would allow deeper drops, keeping sub-76°F outcomes below 35% implied probability. Forecasters from NOAA and local NWS offices highlight steady easterly flow and typical diurnal ranges of 8–12°F, with any variance hinging on tonight’s cloud timing and wind speed. Updated guidance tomorrow morning will refine the exact minimum before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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