The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on April 25?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 25?
42-43°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$39,408 ปริมาณ
$39,408 ปริมาณ
Apr 25, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
Yes
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
No
42-43°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$39,408 ปริมาณ
$39,408 ปริมาณ
Apr 25, 2026
37°F or below
$1,083 ปริมาณ
No
38-39°F
$9,325 ปริมาณ
No
40-41°F
$3,435 ปริมาณ
No
42-43°F
$6,408 ปริมาณ
Yes
44-45°F
$2,361 ปริมาณ
No
46-47°F
$2,009 ปริมาณ
No
48-49°F
$2,740 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$3,271 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$2,103 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$3,888 ปริมาณ
No
56°F or higher
$2,786 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,408วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,408วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The National Weather Service's daily climatological report for Central Park (KNYC ASOS station) confirms a minimum temperature of 42°F on April 25, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome on Polymarket. Cloudy conditions, light rain, and urban heat island effects limited nocturnal cooling, aligning with seasonal April norms where lows average around 45°F but vary with synoptic patterns like weak high pressure aloft. This observed data resolves prior forecast uncertainty from models showing 40-45°F ranges. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-audit sensor correction by NOAA could alter it, as preliminary CLI summaries rarely change. Final certification expected within days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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