Official National Weather Service observations from the New York City Central Park station (KNYC) recorded a low temperature of 42°F on April 26, 2026—the coldest reading of the day amid clear skies and light winds that promoted radiational cooling overnight—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model guidance anticipating lows in the low 40s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, cooler than the late-April climatological normal of around 49°F but within historical variability for the season. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare equipment malfunctions prompting data revisions, though current preliminary climate summaries show strong validation; watch for the final monthly report from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on April 26?
42-43°F 100.0%
35°F or below <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$49,066 ปริมาณ
$49,066 ปริมาณ
35°F or below
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
Yes
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54°F or higher
No
42-43°F 100.0%
35°F or below <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$49,066 ปริมาณ
$49,066 ปริมาณ
35°F or below
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
Yes
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 24, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official National Weather Service observations from the New York City Central Park station (KNYC) recorded a low temperature of 42°F on April 26, 2026—the coldest reading of the day amid clear skies and light winds that promoted radiational cooling overnight—solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 42-43°F outcome. This matched pre-event NOAA forecast model guidance anticipating lows in the low 40s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Northeast, cooler than the late-April climatological normal of around 49°F but within historical variability for the season. Scenarios that could challenge this include rare equipment malfunctions prompting data revisions, though current preliminary climate summaries show strong validation; watch for the final monthly report from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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