Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on May 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 3?
46-47°F 100.0%
35°F or below <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$40,623 ปริมาณ
$40,623 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
35°F or below
No
36-37°F
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
Yes
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54°F or higher
No
46-47°F 100.0%
35°F or below <1%
36-37°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
$40,623 ปริมาณ
$40,623 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
35°F or below
$16,680 ปริมาณ
No
36-37°F
$3,756 ปริมาณ
No
38-39°F
$1,674 ปริมาณ
No
40-41°F
$1,543 ปริมาณ
No
42-43°F
$1,436 ปริมาณ
No
44-45°F
$1,947 ปริมาณ
No
46-47°F
$4,245 ปริมาณ
Yes
48-49°F
$1,335 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$2,431 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$3,992 ปริมาณ
No
54°F or higher
$1,585 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,623วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,623วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 1, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's primary recording station, confirm the lowest temperature on May 3 reached 46-47°F, aligning precisely with NOAA's verified automated measurements and driving 100% market-implied probability for that outcome among traders risking real capital. This positioning reflects preliminary daily climate data released shortly after midnight on May 4, captured amid clear skies and light winds favoring radiational cooling typical for early May under high-pressure influence. While post-event certainty is near-absolute, realistic challenges could arise from rare quality-control revisions—such as sensor recalibrations or supplemental airport data (e.g., from LaGuardia or JFK) revealing a lower regional minimum—though historical precedents show such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases. Final validated records expected within 24-48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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