Recent northerly wind shifts across the Yellow Sea region, replacing subtropical high influence, are driving cooler air advection into Qingdao and establishing the primary catalyst for market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below. Official forecasts from sources such as the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and numerical models project a minimum near 21–22°C on August 30 under partly cloudy conditions with light precipitation possible, consistent with historical late-August baselines around 22°C. This cooling trend, initiated around August 29, creates genuine uncertainty in exact overnight lows depending on wind strength and cloud cover, explaining elevated probabilities for outcomes clustered between 19–23°C while higher thresholds remain less favored. Updated model runs and regional briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 30?
20°C 49%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
23%
20°C
49%
21°C
26%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
2%
25°C
49%
26°C
49%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C or higher
46%
20°C 49%
25°C 49%
26°C 49%
27°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
29°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly wind shifts across the Yellow Sea region, replacing subtropical high influence, are driving cooler air advection into Qingdao and establishing the primary catalyst for market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below. Official forecasts from sources such as the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and numerical models project a minimum near 21–22°C on August 30 under partly cloudy conditions with light precipitation possible, consistent with historical late-August baselines around 22°C. This cooling trend, initiated around August 29, creates genuine uncertainty in exact overnight lows depending on wind strength and cloud cover, explaining elevated probabilities for outcomes clustered between 19–23°C while higher thresholds remain less favored. Updated model runs and regional briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly wind shifts across the Yellow Sea region, replacing subtropical high influence, are driving cooler air advection into Qingdao and establishing the primary catalyst for market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below. Official forecasts from sources such as the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and numerical models project a minimum near 21–22°C on August 30 under partly cloudy conditions with light precipitation possible, consistent with historical late-August baselines around 22°C. This cooling trend, initiated around August 29, creates genuine uncertainty in exact overnight lows depending on wind strength and cloud cover, explaining elevated probabilities for outcomes clustered between 19–23°C while higher thresholds remain less favored. Updated model runs and regional briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly wind shifts across the Yellow Sea region, replacing subtropical high influence, are driving cooler air advection into Qingdao and establishing the primary catalyst for market-implied odds favoring 19°C or below. Official forecasts from sources such as the Qingdao Meteorological Observatory and numerical models project a minimum near 21–22°C on August 30 under partly cloudy conditions with light precipitation possible, consistent with historical late-August baselines around 22°C. This cooling trend, initiated around August 29, creates genuine uncertainty in exact overnight lows depending on wind strength and cloud cover, explaining elevated probabilities for outcomes clustered between 19–23°C while higher thresholds remain less favored. Updated model runs and regional briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-consensus probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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