Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's official station minimum temperature reached 11°C in the early morning hours of April 27, locking in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with late-April climatological norms, where daily lows average around 11°C (52°F) as spring warming elevates baseline temperatures from earlier monthly values near 9°C, supported by clear skies limiting radiative cooling per recent model runs. Strong southerly flows and urban heat island effects further suppressed deeper drops. Realistic challenges—a sudden pre-dawn plunge from unforecast cloud breaks or data revision in KMA's final daily summary—appear improbable given hourly readings holding steady above 10°C; resolution awaits end-of-day verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on April 27?
11°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$28,894 ปริมาณ
$28,894 ปริมาณ
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$28,894 ปริมาณ
$28,894 ปริมาณ
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations confirm Seoul's official station minimum temperature reached 11°C in the early morning hours of April 27, locking in trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible liquidity on alternatives. This aligns with late-April climatological norms, where daily lows average around 11°C (52°F) as spring warming elevates baseline temperatures from earlier monthly values near 9°C, supported by clear skies limiting radiative cooling per recent model runs. Strong southerly flows and urban heat island effects further suppressed deeper drops. Realistic challenges—a sudden pre-dawn plunge from unforecast cloud breaks or data revision in KMA's final daily summary—appear improbable given hourly readings holding steady above 10°C; resolution awaits end-of-day verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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