Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on June 19?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 19?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,895 ปริมาณ
$32,895 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$32,895 ปริมาณ
$32,895 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
15°C or below
$869 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$692 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$2,778 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$2,175 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,190 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$5,862 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$14,463 ปริมาณ
Yes
22°C
$797 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$643 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$510 ปริมาณ
No
25°C or higher
$917 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,895วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,895วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent forecast guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble models indicates a stable overnight pattern for Seoul on June 19, with light winds, partial cloud cover, and surface temperatures holding near 20–21 °C, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities. This reflects the typical early-summer climatology of rising nocturnal minima (historical June lows averaging ~19 °C) tempered by current high-pressure influence that limits radiational cooling. Key differentiating variables include exact dew-point recovery, boundary-layer mixing, and any late-day convective remnants that could nudge the minimum by 1 °C. Traders are weighting the narrow spread between 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes because model runs converge on this range, while lower probabilities on 19 °C or 22 °C reflect tail risks from forecast adjustments expected in the final 24-hour updates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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