Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 4?
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$18,431 ปริมาณ
$18,431 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
5°C or below
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
7°C <1%
$18,431 ปริมาณ
$18,431 ปริมาณ
May 4, 2026
5°C or below
$652 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$2,238 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$4,779 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$4,668 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$1,356 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$2,774 ปริมาณ
Yes
11°C
$407 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$347 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$453 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$406 ปริมาณ
No
15°C or higher
$351 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,431วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,431วันสิ้นสุด
May 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Korea Meteorological Administration observations recorded Seoul's morning low at exactly 10°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies and light westerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at virtually 100% implied probability for this outcome. Updated hourly guidance shows temperatures stabilizing around 11°C near midnight, with minimal radiative cooling potential due to urban heat island effects and persistent high pressure. This aligns with short-range model ensembles from KMA, reflecting typical early-May diurnal patterns where lows occur pre-dawn. Realistic challenges include unexpected wind calm allowing sharper nocturnal cooling to 9°C or below, though low-probability given current trajectories; final daily minimum will resolve via official Seoul station data post-midnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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