Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 5?
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$36,611 ปริมาณ
$36,611 ปริมาณ
Jul 5, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$36,611 ปริมาณ
$36,611 ปริมาณ
Jul 5, 2026
21°C or below
$2,065 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,191 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$2,132 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,612 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$7,542 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$5,682 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$2,389 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$2,747 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$2,767 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$2,606 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$2,878 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,611วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,611วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent numerical weather prediction models and climatological baselines position 25°C as the leading outcome for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on July 5, reflecting typical early-July subtropical monsoon conditions where nocturnal radiative cooling is limited by high humidity and prevailing southerly flow. Ensemble guidance shows overnight lows clustered near 24–26°C, with limited spread due to stable large-scale patterns and no strong frontal passages or tropical influences expected in the 48-hour window. Trader consensus aligns with this central tendency, as 25°C commands over half the probability while adjacent bins capture residual forecast uncertainty. Updated runs from global and regional models will refine these values ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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