Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum temperature on June 19 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C. Typical early-summer conditions—high humidity, moderate winds, and possible cloud cover or showers—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer lows compared to rural surroundings. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or precipitation could push the recorded minimum toward 23°C or hold it near 25°C. Historical June climatology places average lows near 20–22°C, but recent patterns and the day's specific setup support the tighter clustering traders have priced. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 19?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$33,113 ปริมาณ
$33,113 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$33,113 ปริมาณ
$33,113 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
19°C or below
$364 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$643 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,599 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,042 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$6,046 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$11,319 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$8,092 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$697 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$966 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,012 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$334 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum temperature on June 19 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C. Typical early-summer conditions—high humidity, moderate winds, and possible cloud cover or showers—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer lows compared to rural surroundings. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or precipitation could push the recorded minimum toward 23°C or hold it near 25°C. Historical June climatology places average lows near 20–22°C, but recent patterns and the day's specific setup support the tighter clustering traders have priced. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,113วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum temperature on June 19 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C. Typical early-summer conditions—high humidity, moderate winds, and possible cloud cover or showers—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer lows compared to rural surroundings. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or precipitation could push the recorded minimum toward 23°C or hold it near 25°C. Historical June climatology places average lows near 20–22°C, but recent patterns and the day's specific setup support the tighter clustering traders have priced. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,113วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current ensemble forecasts for Shanghai indicate a nighttime minimum temperature on June 19 most likely in the 23–25°C range, aligning with the closely bunched market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C. Typical early-summer conditions—high humidity, moderate winds, and possible cloud cover or showers—limit radiative cooling overnight, while the urban heat island effect sustains warmer lows compared to rural surroundings. Model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration shows limited spread around these values, though small shifts in timing of any frontal passage or precipitation could push the recorded minimum toward 23°C or hold it near 25°C. Historical June climatology places average lows near 20–22°C, but recent patterns and the day's specific setup support the tighter clustering traders have priced. Updated model runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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