Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 19?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 19?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,615 ปริมาณ
$12,615 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$12,615 ปริมาณ
$12,615 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
21°C or below
$540 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$706 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,271 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,214 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,604 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$2,119 ปริมาณ
Yes
27°C
$1,330 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$480 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$1,412 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$1,599 ปริมาณ
No
31°C or higher
$341 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,615วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,615วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for Tokyo indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C on July 19, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity, and light winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling amid typical late-summer conditions. These factors create tight differentiation among leading market outcomes around 24–26°C, as even modest increases in clear-sky intervals or slightly stronger breezes could enhance cooling toward the lower end while retained moisture and urban heat island effects support readings near 26°C. Model consensus remains stable but carries uncertainty from potential timing shifts in any passing fronts, with traders weighting historical July minima averaging 23–25°C against the current partly to mostly cloudy outlook through the weekend.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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