The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 11?
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$23,297 ปริมาณ
$23,297 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$23,297 ปริมาณ
$23,297 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
13°C or below
$517 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$1,410 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$996 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$887 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$1,260 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$4,388 ปริมาณ
Yes
19°C
$4,747 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$5,376 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,405 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$739 ปริมาณ
No
23°C or higher
$1,573 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,297วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,297วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo projects a minimum temperature of 18°C on June 11, matching the daily climatological normal of 18.2–18.3°C under stable, mostly cloudy conditions typical of early June in the Kanto region. This alignment, reinforced by recent model consensus and limited overnight variability, underpins the market’s near-certain 100% implied probability for the 18°C outcome. Historical June lows in Tokyo show tight clustering around this baseline absent major synoptic shifts. Only an unexpected frontal passage, revised observational data from the official station, or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically produce a one-degree deviation before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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