Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus have converged on a Tokyo overnight minimum of exactly 20 °C for May 26, supporting the market’s near-certain positioning on that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable high pressure, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling below this threshold, consistent with climatological May lows near 19 °C. The Japan Meteorological Agency’s Otemachi station measurement will serve as the resolution source. A modest shift in steering flow or unmodeled cloud cover could still produce a 19 °C or 21 °C reading, though current data indicate such deviations are unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 26?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 26?
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$16,298 ปริมาณ
$16,298 ปริมาณ
May 26, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$16,298 ปริมาณ
$16,298 ปริมาณ
May 26, 2026
14°C or below
$923 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$791 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,533 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$1,745 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$2,457 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,202 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$3,176 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$991 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$448 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,097 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$1,936 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus have converged on a Tokyo overnight minimum of exactly 20 °C for May 26, supporting the market’s near-certain positioning on that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable high pressure, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling below this threshold, consistent with climatological May lows near 19 °C. The Japan Meteorological Agency’s Otemachi station measurement will serve as the resolution source. A modest shift in steering flow or unmodeled cloud cover could still produce a 19 °C or 21 °C reading, though current data indicate such deviations are unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,298วันสิ้นสุด
May 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus have converged on a Tokyo overnight minimum of exactly 20 °C for May 26, supporting the market’s near-certain positioning on that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable high pressure, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling below this threshold, consistent with climatological May lows near 19 °C. The Japan Meteorological Agency’s Otemachi station measurement will serve as the resolution source. A modest shift in steering flow or unmodeled cloud cover could still produce a 19 °C or 21 °C reading, though current data indicate such deviations are unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,298วันสิ้นสุด
May 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model consensus have converged on a Tokyo overnight minimum of exactly 20 °C for May 26, supporting the market’s near-certain positioning on that outcome. Official guidance highlights stable high pressure, light winds, and clear to partly cloudy conditions that limit radiative cooling below this threshold, consistent with climatological May lows near 19 °C. The Japan Meteorological Agency’s Otemachi station measurement will serve as the resolution source. A modest shift in steering flow or unmodeled cloud cover could still produce a 19 °C or 21 °C reading, though current data indicate such deviations are unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย