Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts shortly after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He has remained inside the country, operating from an undisclosed secure location amid ongoing regional tensions and conflict. U.S. intelligence assessments note injuries sustained in the initial attacks, reliance on couriers for communication, and no verified public appearances or direct statements since taking office, with messages instead delivered via state media. Iranian authorities have issued no confirmation of any departure or evacuation plans, and regime structures continue to project institutional continuity. These elements, alongside the absence of credible reports on diplomatic arrangements or exits, shape trader views on low likelihood of confirmed departure by near-term resolution dates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,793,651 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
1%
$1,793,651 ปริมาณ
June 30
$383,419 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts shortly after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He has remained inside the country, operating from an undisclosed secure location amid ongoing regional tensions and conflict. U.S. intelligence assessments note injuries sustained in the initial attacks, reliance on couriers for communication, and no verified public appearances or direct statements since taking office, with messages instead delivered via state media. Iranian authorities have issued no confirmation of any departure or evacuation plans, and regime structures continue to project institutional continuity. These elements, alongside the absence of credible reports on diplomatic arrangements or exits, shape trader views on low likelihood of confirmed departure by near-term resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,793,651วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts shortly after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He has remained inside the country, operating from an undisclosed secure location amid ongoing regional tensions and conflict. U.S. intelligence assessments note injuries sustained in the initial attacks, reliance on couriers for communication, and no verified public appearances or direct statements since taking office, with messages instead delivered via state media. Iranian authorities have issued no confirmation of any departure or evacuation plans, and regime structures continue to project institutional continuity. These elements, alongside the absence of credible reports on diplomatic arrangements or exits, shape trader views on low likelihood of confirmed departure by near-term resolution dates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,793,651วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader in early March 2026 by the Assembly of Experts shortly after U.S.-Israeli strikes killed his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. He has remained inside the country, operating from an undisclosed secure location amid ongoing regional tensions and conflict. U.S. intelligence assessments note injuries sustained in the initial attacks, reliance on couriers for communication, and no verified public appearances or direct statements since taking office, with messages instead delivered via state media. Iranian authorities have issued no confirmation of any departure or evacuation plans, and regime structures continue to project institutional continuity. These elements, alongside the absence of credible reports on diplomatic arrangements or exits, shape trader views on low likelihood of confirmed departure by near-term resolution dates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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