Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9, 2026, succeeding his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, killed in late February US-Israeli airstrikes amid escalating regional conflict. He has issued written statements vowing revenge, including after negotiator Ali Larijani's assassination on March 19, but remains unseen publicly, prompting intelligence reports of severe injuries or incapacitation in Qom. Russia confirmed on March 31 he is still in Iran, refraining from appearances due to security. No verified evidence supports departure rumors, with IRGC reportedly exerting influence during regime transition; traders reflect this stasis in low exile probabilities. A public sighting or leadership challenge could alter sentiment before resolution deadlines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$920,709 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
April 30
1%
May 31
5%
June 30
8%
$920,709 ปริมาณ
April 30
$237,075 ปริมาณ
1%
May 31
$12,691 ปริมาณ
5%
June 30
$8,465 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9, 2026, succeeding his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, killed in late February US-Israeli airstrikes amid escalating regional conflict. He has issued written statements vowing revenge, including after negotiator Ali Larijani's assassination on March 19, but remains unseen publicly, prompting intelligence reports of severe injuries or incapacitation in Qom. Russia confirmed on March 31 he is still in Iran, refraining from appearances due to security. No verified evidence supports departure rumors, with IRGC reportedly exerting influence during regime transition; traders reflect this stasis in low exile probabilities. A public sighting or leadership challenge could alter sentiment before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$920,709วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9, 2026, succeeding his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, killed in late February US-Israeli airstrikes amid escalating regional conflict. He has issued written statements vowing revenge, including after negotiator Ali Larijani's assassination on March 19, but remains unseen publicly, prompting intelligence reports of severe injuries or incapacitation in Qom. Russia confirmed on March 31 he is still in Iran, refraining from appearances due to security. No verified evidence supports departure rumors, with IRGC reportedly exerting influence during regime transition; traders reflect this stasis in low exile probabilities. A public sighting or leadership challenge could alter sentiment before resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$920,709วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 10, 2026, 7:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's Supreme Leader on March 9, 2026, succeeding his father Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, killed in late February US-Israeli airstrikes amid escalating regional conflict. He has issued written statements vowing revenge, including after negotiator Ali Larijani's assassination on March 19, but remains unseen publicly, prompting intelligence reports of severe injuries or incapacitation in Qom. Russia confirmed on March 31 he is still in Iran, refraining from appearances due to security. No verified evidence supports departure rumors, with IRGC reportedly exerting influence during regime transition; traders reflect this stasis in low exile probabilities. A public sighting or leadership challenge could alter sentiment before resolution deadlines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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