Jack Lowden leads the market at 40.7% implied probability after recent comments from his Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman suggested the role has already been cast internally, with Lowden on the shortlist. Traders have responded to his spy-thriller credentials, Olivier and Emmy recognition, and positioning as a younger British contender aligned with director Denis Villeneuve’s reported preferences. Callum Turner sits at 15.7% amid ongoing shortlist mentions alongside Jacob Elordi, Paul Mescal, Harris Dickinson, and Jack Barton, while the 20.5% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end reflects the absence of an official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios despite summer screen tests and producer Amy Pascal’s timeline. Historical precedent for last-minute shifts and the secretive nature of Bond casting continue to sustain uncertainty among bettors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext James Bond actor?
Next James Bond actor?
Jack Lowden 41.1%
No Bond chosen 20.5%
Callum Turner 19.7%
Jack Barton 9.2%
$971,996 ปริมาณ
$971,996 ปริมาณ
Jack Lowden
41%
No Bond chosen
21%
Callum Turner
20%
Jack Barton
9%
Harris Dickinson
4%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Richard Madden
3%
Tom Francis
2%
Theo James
2%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Henry Cavill
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Jonathan Bailey
<1%
Jacob Elordi
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
Jack Lowden 41.1%
No Bond chosen 20.5%
Callum Turner 19.7%
Jack Barton 9.2%
$971,996 ปริมาณ
$971,996 ปริมาณ
Jack Lowden
41%
No Bond chosen
21%
Callum Turner
20%
Jack Barton
9%
Harris Dickinson
4%
Jack O'Connell
4%
Richard Madden
3%
Tom Francis
2%
Theo James
2%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%
Josh O'Connor
1%
Henry Cavill
1%
Tom Hardy
1%
Paul Mescal
<1%
James Norton
<1%
Jonathan Bailey
<1%
Jacob Elordi
<1%
Tom Blyth
<1%
Robert James-Collier
<1%
Timothee Chalamet
<1%
Nicholas Galitzine
<1%
Pierce Brosnan
<1%
Tom Holland
<1%
Michael B Jordan
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Jack Lowden leads the market at 40.7% implied probability after recent comments from his Slow Horses co-star Gary Oldman suggested the role has already been cast internally, with Lowden on the shortlist. Traders have responded to his spy-thriller credentials, Olivier and Emmy recognition, and positioning as a younger British contender aligned with director Denis Villeneuve’s reported preferences. Callum Turner sits at 15.7% amid ongoing shortlist mentions alongside Jacob Elordi, Paul Mescal, Harris Dickinson, and Jack Barton, while the 20.5% chance that no actor is chosen by year-end reflects the absence of an official announcement from Amazon MGM Studios despite summer screen tests and producer Amy Pascal’s timeline. Historical precedent for last-minute shifts and the secretive nature of Bond casting continue to sustain uncertainty among bettors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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