The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNorth Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?
$9,440 ปริมาณ
$9,440 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
$9,440 ปริมาณ
$9,440 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,440วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,440วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 20, 2026, 12:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The April 30, 2026, deadline for a North Korean ballistic missile, cruise missile, or anti-ship missile launch has passed without qualifying activity, anchoring trader consensus at 100% "No" probability after South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff, Japan, and U.S. Indo-Pacific Command detected no launches since the April 24 short-range ballistic missile test with cluster munitions—Pyongyang's seventh of 2026. This lull follows Kim Jong Un-supervised firings of Hwasong-11 Ra tactical missiles on April 19 amid ongoing nuclear-missile buildup showcased at the Workers' Party congress, but reflects effective regional monitoring and absence of escalation signals. While resolution awaits official confirmation, late-breaking KCNA reports or UN-verified data could trigger review, though precedents favor real-time detections over retrospective claims.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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