OPEC continues to coordinate production quotas and policy among its remaining core members despite recent exits, sustaining trader expectations that the organization will endure through 2026. The United Arab Emirates departed in May amid disputes over output limits and shifting foreign policy priorities tied to regional conflicts, while Iraq and Venezuela have weighed similar moves over quota allocations. Core producers including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman have maintained monthly reviews, agreeing in September to hold October output steady as they prepare 2027 baselines amid disruptions from the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz tensions. This ongoing multilateral framework, historical adaptability to membership changes, and active energy market management underpin the 96.8% implied probability against dissolution. Potential shifts could arise from additional high-volume exits or escalated geopolitical breakdowns that halt all cooperation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOPEC dissolves in 2026?
OPEC dissolves in 2026?
3% โอกาส
$36,499 ปริมาณ
$36,499 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
3% โอกาส
$36,499 ปริมาณ
$36,499 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate production quotas and policy among its remaining core members despite recent exits, sustaining trader expectations that the organization will endure through 2026. The United Arab Emirates departed in May amid disputes over output limits and shifting foreign policy priorities tied to regional conflicts, while Iraq and Venezuela have weighed similar moves over quota allocations. Core producers including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman have maintained monthly reviews, agreeing in September to hold October output steady as they prepare 2027 baselines amid disruptions from the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz tensions. This ongoing multilateral framework, historical adaptability to membership changes, and active energy market management underpin the 96.8% implied probability against dissolution. Potential shifts could arise from additional high-volume exits or escalated geopolitical breakdowns that halt all cooperation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,499วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC continues to coordinate production quotas and policy among its remaining core members despite recent exits, sustaining trader expectations that the organization will endure through 2026. The United Arab Emirates departed in May amid disputes over output limits and shifting foreign policy priorities tied to regional conflicts, while Iraq and Venezuela have weighed similar moves over quota allocations. Core producers including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman have maintained monthly reviews, agreeing in September to hold October output steady as they prepare 2027 baselines amid disruptions from the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz tensions. This ongoing multilateral framework, historical adaptability to membership changes, and active energy market management underpin the 96.8% implied probability against dissolution. Potential shifts could arise from additional high-volume exits or escalated geopolitical breakdowns that halt all cooperation.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) dissolves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OPEC will be considered dissolved if any of the following conditions are met:
- More than half of the OPEC member states, as of market creation and excluding the United Arab Emirates, officially withdraw from OPEC.
- An official agreement amongst the OPEC member states is adopted which dissolves, disbands, terminates, or otherwise formally ends OPEC.
- OPEC otherwise ceases to exist as an intergovernmental organization or legal entity.
An OPEC member state will be considered to have withdrawn once it officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC, or otherwise formally initiates withdrawal under applicable OPEC procedure, regardless of whether the withdrawal takes effect after this market’s timeframe. Withdrawals from OPEC+ will not alone be considered withdrawals from OPEC.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OPEC and OPEC member states; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$36,499วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...OPEC continues to coordinate production quotas and policy among its remaining core members despite recent exits, sustaining trader expectations that the organization will endure through 2026. The United Arab Emirates departed in May amid disputes over output limits and shifting foreign policy priorities tied to regional conflicts, while Iraq and Venezuela have weighed similar moves over quota allocations. Core producers including Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Algeria, Kazakhstan, and Oman have maintained monthly reviews, agreeing in September to hold October output steady as they prepare 2027 baselines amid disruptions from the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz tensions. This ongoing multilateral framework, historical adaptability to membership changes, and active energy market management underpin the 96.8% implied probability against dissolution. Potential shifts could arise from additional high-volume exits or escalated geopolitical breakdowns that halt all cooperation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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