OpenAI’s September 8 announcement of an AI-generated analytical proof and Lean formalization for a finite-time singularity in the Navier-Stokes equations has anchored the 91% market-implied probability against retraction through year-end. The result, produced by thousands of agents on an unreleased internal model exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, was released publicly with machine-checkable verification rather than a Millennium Prize claim, reducing immediate incentives for withdrawal. Ongoing priority disputes with NYU and Anthropic researchers center on methodology and data use instead of outright invalidity. While independent mathematician review or newly identified errors in the 166-page writeup could still prompt a correction before December 31, the combination of formal verification and limited remaining time supports strong trader consensus for no retraction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว14% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
14% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8 announcement of an AI-generated analytical proof and Lean formalization for a finite-time singularity in the Navier-Stokes equations has anchored the 91% market-implied probability against retraction through year-end. The result, produced by thousands of agents on an unreleased internal model exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, was released publicly with machine-checkable verification rather than a Millennium Prize claim, reducing immediate incentives for withdrawal. Ongoing priority disputes with NYU and Anthropic researchers center on methodology and data use instead of outright invalidity. While independent mathematician review or newly identified errors in the 166-page writeup could still prompt a correction before December 31, the combination of formal verification and limited remaining time supports strong trader consensus for no retraction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 6:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s September 8 announcement of an AI-generated analytical proof and Lean formalization for a finite-time singularity in the Navier-Stokes equations has anchored the 91% market-implied probability against retraction through year-end. The result, produced by thousands of agents on an unreleased internal model exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, was released publicly with machine-checkable verification rather than a Millennium Prize claim, reducing immediate incentives for withdrawal. Ongoing priority disputes with NYU and Anthropic researchers center on methodology and data use instead of outright invalidity. While independent mathematician review or newly identified errors in the 166-page writeup could still prompt a correction before December 31, the combination of formal verification and limited remaining time supports strong trader consensus for no retraction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/).
A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$50วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 6:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 8 announcement of an AI-generated analytical proof and Lean formalization for a finite-time singularity in the Navier-Stokes equations has anchored the 91% market-implied probability against retraction through year-end. The result, produced by thousands of agents on an unreleased internal model exceeding GPT-6 Astra capabilities, was released publicly with machine-checkable verification rather than a Millennium Prize claim, reducing immediate incentives for withdrawal. Ongoing priority disputes with NYU and Anthropic researchers center on methodology and data use instead of outright invalidity. While independent mathematician review or newly identified errors in the 166-page writeup could still prompt a correction before December 31, the combination of formal verification and limited remaining time supports strong trader consensus for no retraction.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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