In the Pará Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the state's federal seats and the top two finishers prevail, trader consensus reflects a fragmented contest with no dominant contender for second place. A July 2026 Genial/Quaest survey positioned ex-governor Helder Barbalho (MDB) in the lead at 21-23%, while federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and former senator Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) hovered near 14-15% in stimulated scenarios, with several other names—including Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União), and newer entrants like Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza, launched August 5)—trailing or untested at scale. High volatility stems from 57% of respondents indicating they could still switch preferences, limited recent statewide polling, and the two-month window before October voting, which keeps multiple paths open depending on party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPará Senate Election: 2nd Place
Conti 45%
Fernanda Lopes 45%
Breno Guimarães 44%
Willem da Silva 44%

Conti
45%

Fernanda Lopes
45%

Breno Guimarães
44%

Willem da Silva
44%

Delegado Éder Mauro
44%

Edlaine Rodrigues
44%

Gizelle Freitas
44%

Celso Sabino
44%

Chicão
43%

Zequinha Marinho
43%

Helder
42%
Conti 45%
Fernanda Lopes 45%
Breno Guimarães 44%
Willem da Silva 44%

Conti
45%

Fernanda Lopes
45%

Breno Guimarães
44%

Willem da Silva
44%

Delegado Éder Mauro
44%

Edlaine Rodrigues
44%

Gizelle Freitas
44%

Celso Sabino
44%

Chicão
43%

Zequinha Marinho
43%

Helder
42%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Pará Senate race, where voters select two candidates for the state's federal seats and the top two finishers prevail, trader consensus reflects a fragmented contest with no dominant contender for second place. A July 2026 Genial/Quaest survey positioned ex-governor Helder Barbalho (MDB) in the lead at 21-23%, while federal deputy Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) and former senator Zequinha Marinho (Podemos) hovered near 14-15% in stimulated scenarios, with several other names—including Celso Sabino (PDT), Chicão (União), and newer entrants like Breno Guimarães (Mobiliza, launched August 5)—trailing or untested at scale. High volatility stems from 57% of respondents indicating they could still switch preferences, limited recent statewide polling, and the two-month window before October voting, which keeps multiple paths open depending on party alliances, regional turnout, and campaign momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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