Tarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republican seeking re-election on October 4, 2026. Recent Ideia and Genial/Quaest polls from July and early August show him at 50-53% in the first round, ahead of Fernando Haddad by 15-17 points, reflecting broad support across the state’s diverse electorate. His formal nomination by the Republicanos party in early August, backed by key right-wing figures, has consolidated the field after withdrawals by candidates such as Kim Kataguiri. Traders view the fragmented opposition and Tarcísio’s consistent polling dominance as strong indicators of a first-round or runoff victory. Late developments like a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTarcísio de Freitas 94%
Fernando Haddad 4.0%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$279,049 ปริมาณ
$279,049 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
94%
Fernando Haddad
4%
Erika Hilton
1%
Kim Kataguiri
<1%
Márcio França
<1%
Tarcísio de Freitas 94%
Fernando Haddad 4.0%
Erika Hilton <1%
Kim Kataguiri <1%
$279,049 ปริมาณ
$279,049 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
$123,014 ปริมาณ
94%
Fernando Haddad
$46,886 ปริมาณ
4%
Erika Hilton
$22,704 ปริมาณ
1%
Kim Kataguiri
$75,777 ปริมาณ
<1%
Márcio França
$10,668 ปริมาณ
<1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republican seeking re-election on October 4, 2026. Recent Ideia and Genial/Quaest polls from July and early August show him at 50-53% in the first round, ahead of Fernando Haddad by 15-17 points, reflecting broad support across the state’s diverse electorate. His formal nomination by the Republicanos party in early August, backed by key right-wing figures, has consolidated the field after withdrawals by candidates such as Kim Kataguiri. Traders view the fragmented opposition and Tarcísio’s consistent polling dominance as strong indicators of a first-round or runoff victory. Late developments like a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before election day.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$279,049วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republican seeking re-election on October 4, 2026. Recent Ideia and Genial/Quaest polls from July and early August show him at 50-53% in the first round, ahead of Fernando Haddad by 15-17 points, reflecting broad support across the state’s diverse electorate. His formal nomination by the Republicanos party in early August, backed by key right-wing figures, has consolidated the field after withdrawals by candidates such as Kim Kataguiri. Traders view the fragmented opposition and Tarcísio’s consistent polling dominance as strong indicators of a first-round or runoff victory. Late developments like a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before election day.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$279,049วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarcísio de Freitas holds a commanding lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent Republican seeking re-election on October 4, 2026. Recent Ideia and Genial/Quaest polls from July and early August show him at 50-53% in the first round, ahead of Fernando Haddad by 15-17 points, reflecting broad support across the state’s diverse electorate. His formal nomination by the Republicanos party in early August, backed by key right-wing figures, has consolidated the field after withdrawals by candidates such as Kim Kataguiri. Traders view the fragmented opposition and Tarcísio’s consistent polling dominance as strong indicators of a first-round or runoff victory. Late developments like a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could still alter the outcome before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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