Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader sentiment in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages and high approval ratings near 77%. Recent surveys from July 2026, including those by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Ferraço ahead in most first-round and runoff scenarios against main challengers such as Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), with margins often exceeding 10 points in head-to-head matchups. Pazolini and other listed contenders trail at lower implied probabilities, reflecting limited momentum in available data. The October 2026 first-round vote remains several months away, leaving room for shifts from coalition alignments, economic indicators, or additional polling releases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEspírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço 63%
Lorenzo Pazolini 34%
Arnaldinho Borgo 4.3%
Sergio Vidigal 2.9%
$12,982 ปริมาณ
$12,982 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
63%
Lorenzo Pazolini
34%
Arnaldinho Borgo
4%
Sergio Vidigal
3%
Euclério Sampaio
1%
Ricardo Ferraço 63%
Lorenzo Pazolini 34%
Arnaldinho Borgo 4.3%
Sergio Vidigal 2.9%
$12,982 ปริมาณ
$12,982 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$7,049 ปริมาณ
63%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$3,440 ปริมาณ
34%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$1,638 ปริมาณ
4%
Sergio Vidigal
$396 ปริมาณ
3%
Euclério Sampaio
$460 ปริมาณ
1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader sentiment in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages and high approval ratings near 77%. Recent surveys from July 2026, including those by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Ferraço ahead in most first-round and runoff scenarios against main challengers such as Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), with margins often exceeding 10 points in head-to-head matchups. Pazolini and other listed contenders trail at lower implied probabilities, reflecting limited momentum in available data. The October 2026 first-round vote remains several months away, leaving room for shifts from coalition alignments, economic indicators, or additional polling releases.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,982วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader sentiment in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages and high approval ratings near 77%. Recent surveys from July 2026, including those by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Ferraço ahead in most first-round and runoff scenarios against main challengers such as Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), with margins often exceeding 10 points in head-to-head matchups. Pazolini and other listed contenders trail at lower implied probabilities, reflecting limited momentum in available data. The October 2026 first-round vote remains several months away, leaving room for shifts from coalition alignments, economic indicators, or additional polling releases.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,982วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to run for Senate, leads trader sentiment in the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to consistent polling advantages and high approval ratings near 77%. Recent surveys from July 2026, including those by Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show Ferraço ahead in most first-round and runoff scenarios against main challengers such as Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), with margins often exceeding 10 points in head-to-head matchups. Pazolini and other listed contenders trail at lower implied probabilities, reflecting limited momentum in available data. The October 2026 first-round vote remains several months away, leaving room for shifts from coalition alignments, economic indicators, or additional polling releases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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