**High trader confidence in no STF justice facing successful impeachment removal before 2027 stems from the demanding constitutional process, which requires Senate initiation and supermajority approval amid fragmented political support.** Multiple impeachment petitions against justices like Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled by the Senate president, while recent internal court clashes over investigations into Moraes and André Mendonça have produced only procedural delays and mutual accusations rather than external congressional action. The October 2026 presidential and legislative elections, followed by a likely runoff, leave limited time for any new majority to advance and complete removal proceedings before year-end. Compulsory retirements and presidential appointments already provide avenues for court turnover without impeachment. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a decisive electoral outcome empowering opposition forces to fast-track rule changes and Senate votes, or major new evidence surfacing that builds cross-party consensus for action within the narrow remaining window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว5% โอกาส
$91,474 ปริมาณ
$91,474 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
5% โอกาส
$91,474 ปริมาณ
$91,474 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**High trader confidence in no STF justice facing successful impeachment removal before 2027 stems from the demanding constitutional process, which requires Senate initiation and supermajority approval amid fragmented political support.** Multiple impeachment petitions against justices like Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled by the Senate president, while recent internal court clashes over investigations into Moraes and André Mendonça have produced only procedural delays and mutual accusations rather than external congressional action. The October 2026 presidential and legislative elections, followed by a likely runoff, leave limited time for any new majority to advance and complete removal proceedings before year-end. Compulsory retirements and presidential appointments already provide avenues for court turnover without impeachment.
Scenarios that could still shift odds include a decisive electoral outcome empowering opposition forces to fast-track rule changes and Senate votes, or major new evidence surfacing that builds cross-party consensus for action within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$91,474วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**High trader confidence in no STF justice facing successful impeachment removal before 2027 stems from the demanding constitutional process, which requires Senate initiation and supermajority approval amid fragmented political support.** Multiple impeachment petitions against justices like Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled by the Senate president, while recent internal court clashes over investigations into Moraes and André Mendonça have produced only procedural delays and mutual accusations rather than external congressional action. The October 2026 presidential and legislative elections, followed by a likely runoff, leave limited time for any new majority to advance and complete removal proceedings before year-end. Compulsory retirements and presidential appointments already provide avenues for court turnover without impeachment.
Scenarios that could still shift odds include a decisive electoral outcome empowering opposition forces to fast-track rule changes and Senate votes, or major new evidence surfacing that builds cross-party consensus for action within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$91,474วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**High trader confidence in no STF justice facing successful impeachment removal before 2027 stems from the demanding constitutional process, which requires Senate initiation and supermajority approval amid fragmented political support.** Multiple impeachment petitions against justices like Alexandre de Moraes remain stalled by the Senate president, while recent internal court clashes over investigations into Moraes and André Mendonça have produced only procedural delays and mutual accusations rather than external congressional action. The October 2026 presidential and legislative elections, followed by a likely runoff, leave limited time for any new majority to advance and complete removal proceedings before year-end. Compulsory retirements and presidential appointments already provide avenues for court turnover without impeachment. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a decisive electoral outcome empowering opposition forces to fast-track rule changes and Senate votes, or major new evidence surfacing that builds cross-party consensus for action within the narrow remaining window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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