Institutional barriers and procedural hurdles in Brazil’s Senate and STF explain the strong trader consensus against any justice’s impeachment removal before 2027. Congress has filed dozens of requests in recent years, including a 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against ministers such as Gilmar Mendes, yet none have advanced to removal. A December 2025 liminar by Mendes restricted citizen filings and raised Senate thresholds, prompting legislative pushback but preserving high legal obstacles. Historical precedent shows no successful STF impeachments, while the compressed timeline and requirement for supermajority support limit realistic pathways absent extraordinary political realignment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$82,649 ปริมาณ
$82,649 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$82,649 ปริมาณ
$82,649 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Institutional barriers and procedural hurdles in Brazil’s Senate and STF explain the strong trader consensus against any justice’s impeachment removal before 2027. Congress has filed dozens of requests in recent years, including a 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against ministers such as Gilmar Mendes, yet none have advanced to removal. A December 2025 liminar by Mendes restricted citizen filings and raised Senate thresholds, prompting legislative pushback but preserving high legal obstacles. Historical precedent shows no successful STF impeachments, while the compressed timeline and requirement for supermajority support limit realistic pathways absent extraordinary political realignment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,649วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Institutional barriers and procedural hurdles in Brazil’s Senate and STF explain the strong trader consensus against any justice’s impeachment removal before 2027. Congress has filed dozens of requests in recent years, including a 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against ministers such as Gilmar Mendes, yet none have advanced to removal. A December 2025 liminar by Mendes restricted citizen filings and raised Senate thresholds, prompting legislative pushback but preserving high legal obstacles. Historical precedent shows no successful STF impeachments, while the compressed timeline and requirement for supermajority support limit realistic pathways absent extraordinary political realignment.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$82,649วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Institutional barriers and procedural hurdles in Brazil’s Senate and STF explain the strong trader consensus against any justice’s impeachment removal before 2027. Congress has filed dozens of requests in recent years, including a 2026 CPI report recommending proceedings against ministers such as Gilmar Mendes, yet none have advanced to removal. A December 2025 liminar by Mendes restricted citizen filings and raised Senate thresholds, prompting legislative pushback but preserving high legal obstacles. Historical precedent shows no successful STF impeachments, while the compressed timeline and requirement for supermajority support limit realistic pathways absent extraordinary political realignment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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