US intelligence assessments, including the March 2026 ODNI Annual Threat Assessment, state that Chinese leaders lack a fixed timeline for unification and do not currently plan a Taiwan invasion in 2027, instead prioritizing coercive measures short of war such as military exercises, drone swarm development, and gray-zone pressure in the Taiwan Strait. Ongoing diplomatic channels, including US-PRC maritime safety talks and opposition party engagement with Beijing, alongside Taiwan's defensive preparations and US regional posture, have reinforced trader expectations of continued status-quo stability through year-end. These factors underpin the strong consensus against an invasion by December 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วจีนจะบุกไต้หวันภายในสิ้นปี 2026 หรือไม่?
จีนจะบุกไต้หวันภายในสิ้นปี 2026 หรือไม่?
ใช่
$34,729,170 ปริมาณ
$34,729,170 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
รับ 3.25%
ใช่
$34,729,170 ปริมาณ
$34,729,170 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
รับ 3.25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US intelligence assessments, including the March 2026 ODNI Annual Threat Assessment, state that Chinese leaders lack a fixed timeline for unification and do not currently plan a Taiwan invasion in 2027, instead prioritizing coercive measures short of war such as military exercises, drone swarm development, and gray-zone pressure in the Taiwan Strait. Ongoing diplomatic channels, including US-PRC maritime safety talks and opposition party engagement with Beijing, alongside Taiwan's defensive preparations and US regional posture, have reinforced trader expectations of continued status-quo stability through year-end. These factors underpin the strong consensus against an invasion by December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,729,170วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US intelligence assessments, including the March 2026 ODNI Annual Threat Assessment, state that Chinese leaders lack a fixed timeline for unification and do not currently plan a Taiwan invasion in 2027, instead prioritizing coercive measures short of war such as military exercises, drone swarm development, and gray-zone pressure in the Taiwan Strait. Ongoing diplomatic channels, including US-PRC maritime safety talks and opposition party engagement with Beijing, alongside Taiwan's defensive preparations and US regional posture, have reinforced trader expectations of continued status-quo stability through year-end. These factors underpin the strong consensus against an invasion by December 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,729,305วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
US intelligence assessments, including the March 2026 ODNI Annual Threat Assessment, state that Chinese leaders lack a fixed timeline for unification and do not currently plan a Taiwan invasion in 2027, instead prioritizing coercive measures short of war such as military exercises, drone swarm development, and gray-zone pressure in the Taiwan Strait. Ongoing diplomatic channels, including US-PRC maritime safety talks and opposition party engagement with Beijing, alongside Taiwan's defensive preparations and US regional posture, have reinforced trader expectations of continued status-quo stability through year-end. These factors underpin the strong consensus against an invasion by December 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย