EU sanctions enacted in 2025 and extended through 2026 explicitly bar Russian pipeline gas imports, while German authorities have blocked any reactivation to sustain leverage in the Ukraine conflict. The 2022 sabotage left multiple lines inoperable, with no active repair programs underway and recent court rulings on insurance claims citing war exclusions. Ongoing investigations into the blasts, including 2026 arrests of suspects, further complicate restart timelines that would require years of physical work plus political approvals. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched barriers, though a sudden diplomatic resolution to the conflict or policy reversal by key EU states could theoretically reopen the possibility before the 2027 cutoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว4% โอกาส
$151,668 ปริมาณ
$151,668 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
4% โอกาส
$151,668 ปริมาณ
$151,668 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
EU sanctions enacted in 2025 and extended through 2026 explicitly bar Russian pipeline gas imports, while German authorities have blocked any reactivation to sustain leverage in the Ukraine conflict. The 2022 sabotage left multiple lines inoperable, with no active repair programs underway and recent court rulings on insurance claims citing war exclusions. Ongoing investigations into the blasts, including 2026 arrests of suspects, further complicate restart timelines that would require years of physical work plus political approvals. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched barriers, though a sudden diplomatic resolution to the conflict or policy reversal by key EU states could theoretically reopen the possibility before the 2027 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$151,668วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
EU sanctions enacted in 2025 and extended through 2026 explicitly bar Russian pipeline gas imports, while German authorities have blocked any reactivation to sustain leverage in the Ukraine conflict. The 2022 sabotage left multiple lines inoperable, with no active repair programs underway and recent court rulings on insurance claims citing war exclusions. Ongoing investigations into the blasts, including 2026 arrests of suspects, further complicate restart timelines that would require years of physical work plus political approvals. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched barriers, though a sudden diplomatic resolution to the conflict or policy reversal by key EU states could theoretically reopen the possibility before the 2027 cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$151,668วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...EU sanctions enacted in 2025 and extended through 2026 explicitly bar Russian pipeline gas imports, while German authorities have blocked any reactivation to sustain leverage in the Ukraine conflict. The 2022 sabotage left multiple lines inoperable, with no active repair programs underway and recent court rulings on insurance claims citing war exclusions. Ongoing investigations into the blasts, including 2026 arrests of suspects, further complicate restart timelines that would require years of physical work plus political approvals. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched barriers, though a sudden diplomatic resolution to the conflict or policy reversal by key EU states could theoretically reopen the possibility before the 2027 cutoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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