Upcoming Xi Jinping state visit to Washington on September 24 has traders focused on the initial greeting amid persistent U.S.-China frictions over Taiwan, tariffs, export controls, and fentanyl precursors. Recent preparatory talks between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese counterparts, plus last-minute signals of possible meeting cancellation, underscore the transactional yet strained bilateral dynamic that followed the May Beijing summit. With 10–15 second and 6–10 second outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus, the tight spread reflects uncertainty over whether protocol and optics will produce a standard diplomatic clasp or something slightly extended, as seen in prior encounters. Any breakthrough on rare earths or AI guardrails, or fresh Taiwan escalation, could shift probabilities before the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว10–15s 48%
6–10s 43%
15s+ 33%
2–6s 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 7, 2026
10–15s
48%
6–10s
43%
15s+
33%
2–6s
21%
Photographed only
10%
No Handshake
7%
<2s
4%
10–15s 48%
6–10s 43%
15s+ 33%
2–6s 21%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 7, 2026
10–15s
$15 ปริมาณ
48%
6–10s
$15 ปริมาณ
43%
15s+
$123 ปริมาณ
33%
2–6s
$15 ปริมาณ
21%
Photographed only
$169 ปริมาณ
10%
No Handshake
$232 ปริมาณ
7%
<2s
$17 ปริมาณ
4%
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.Upcoming Xi Jinping state visit to Washington on September 24 has traders focused on the initial greeting amid persistent U.S.-China frictions over Taiwan, tariffs, export controls, and fentanyl precursors. Recent preparatory talks between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese counterparts, plus last-minute signals of possible meeting cancellation, underscore the transactional yet strained bilateral dynamic that followed the May Beijing summit. With 10–15 second and 6–10 second outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus, the tight spread reflects uncertainty over whether protocol and optics will produce a standard diplomatic clasp or something slightly extended, as seen in prior encounters. Any breakthrough on rare earths or AI guardrails, or fresh Taiwan escalation, could shift probabilities before the event.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$586วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 5:57 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.Upcoming Xi Jinping state visit to Washington on September 24 has traders focused on the initial greeting amid persistent U.S.-China frictions over Taiwan, tariffs, export controls, and fentanyl precursors. Recent preparatory talks between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese counterparts, plus last-minute signals of possible meeting cancellation, underscore the transactional yet strained bilateral dynamic that followed the May Beijing summit. With 10–15 second and 6–10 second outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus, the tight spread reflects uncertainty over whether protocol and optics will produce a standard diplomatic clasp or something slightly extended, as seen in prior encounters. Any breakthrough on rare earths or AI guardrails, or fresh Taiwan escalation, could shift probabilities before the event.
Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.
This market will resolve according to the length of the longest filmed handshake between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping during this summit. Any handshake recorded during the summit will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, the summit begins when Xi Jinping enters the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States and ends once Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory.
If no handshake occurs during the summit, or if Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
If a handshake is photographed but not captured on video, this market will resolve to "Photographed only".
Duration will be measured from the exact moment their hands make initial physical contact until the exact moment either breaks contact.
If the measured duration falls exactly on the boundary between two duration brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Qualifying Requirements:
The handshake must be voluntary, intentional, and in person.
Direct hand-to-hand contact is required (gloves or mittens are permitted).
The handshake must be clearly visible on video from start to finish.
Non-qualifying examples:
Fist bumps, hugs, waves, or other non-handshake greetings.
Any handshake that is too unclear to measure.
Only photographic evidence exists without a way to measure duration.
Video or photographic evidence of the handshake must be released during the calendar days (ET) of the summit to qualify.
This market may resolve at the end of the calendar day (ET) that Xi Jinping physically departs from United States territory at the end of the summit. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Handshake”.
The resolution source will be video footage.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$586วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 5:57 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Upcoming Xi Jinping state visit to Washington on September 24 has traders focused on the initial greeting amid persistent U.S.-China frictions over Taiwan, tariffs, export controls, and fentanyl precursors. Recent preparatory talks between Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Chinese counterparts, plus last-minute signals of possible meeting cancellation, underscore the transactional yet strained bilateral dynamic that followed the May Beijing summit. With 10–15 second and 6–10 second outcomes nearly tied in trader consensus, the tight spread reflects uncertainty over whether protocol and optics will produce a standard diplomatic clasp or something slightly extended, as seen in prior encounters. Any breakthrough on rare earths or AI guardrails, or fresh Taiwan escalation, could shift probabilities before the event.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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