Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race with 56.5% implied probability, ahead of Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 33.5%, as recent polling shows him consolidating support in a polarized contest. Zucco, backed by a broad right-wing coalition including PL, PP, and Novo, has gained ground in late August and early September surveys such as AtlasIntel, where he reached 44% in the first round and held a narrow edge in second-round matchups. Brizola, supported by the PDT-PT alliance, maintains a competitive base but trails in the most current estimates after earlier technical ties. Lower-polling candidates including Gabriel Souza (MDB), Marcelo Maranata (PSDB), and others remain marginal factors ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader positioning reflects Zucco's polling momentum and coalition strength in the closing weeks of the campaign.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner
Luciano Zucco 52%
Juliana Brizola 34%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
Gabriel Souza <1%
$102,303 ปริมาณ
$102,303 ปริมาณ
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
51%
Juliana Brizola
34%
Marcelo Maranata
1%
Gabriel Souza
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 52%
Juliana Brizola 34%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
Gabriel Souza <1%
$102,303 ปริมาณ
$102,303 ปริมาณ
Oct 3, 2026
Luciano Zucco
$46,572 ปริมาณ
51%
Juliana Brizola
$35,339 ปริมาณ
34%
Marcelo Maranata
$7,151 ปริมาณ
1%
Gabriel Souza
$10,276 ปริมาณ
<1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$2,966 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race with 56.5% implied probability, ahead of Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 33.5%, as recent polling shows him consolidating support in a polarized contest. Zucco, backed by a broad right-wing coalition including PL, PP, and Novo, has gained ground in late August and early September surveys such as AtlasIntel, where he reached 44% in the first round and held a narrow edge in second-round matchups. Brizola, supported by the PDT-PT alliance, maintains a competitive base but trails in the most current estimates after earlier technical ties. Lower-polling candidates including Gabriel Souza (MDB), Marcelo Maranata (PSDB), and others remain marginal factors ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader positioning reflects Zucco's polling momentum and coalition strength in the closing weeks of the campaign.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,303วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race with 56.5% implied probability, ahead of Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 33.5%, as recent polling shows him consolidating support in a polarized contest. Zucco, backed by a broad right-wing coalition including PL, PP, and Novo, has gained ground in late August and early September surveys such as AtlasIntel, where he reached 44% in the first round and held a narrow edge in second-round matchups. Brizola, supported by the PDT-PT alliance, maintains a competitive base but trails in the most current estimates after earlier technical ties. Lower-polling candidates including Gabriel Souza (MDB), Marcelo Maranata (PSDB), and others remain marginal factors ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader positioning reflects Zucco's polling momentum and coalition strength in the closing weeks of the campaign.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,303วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial race with 56.5% implied probability, ahead of Juliana Brizola (PDT) at 33.5%, as recent polling shows him consolidating support in a polarized contest. Zucco, backed by a broad right-wing coalition including PL, PP, and Novo, has gained ground in late August and early September surveys such as AtlasIntel, where he reached 44% in the first round and held a narrow edge in second-round matchups. Brizola, supported by the PDT-PT alliance, maintains a competitive base but trails in the most current estimates after earlier technical ties. Lower-polling candidates including Gabriel Souza (MDB), Marcelo Maranata (PSDB), and others remain marginal factors ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Trader positioning reflects Zucco's polling momentum and coalition strength in the closing weeks of the campaign.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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