Houston Texans hold the top position in the AFC South market at 43% implied probability, driven by targeted offseason additions including running back David Montgomery and offensive line reinforcements like Wyatt Teller and Braden Smith that complement quarterback C.J. Stroud and an established defense. Jacksonville Jaguars sit at 29.5% as the closest challenger, supported by Trevor Lawrence’s experience and roster continuity after competitive showings in prior seasons. Indianapolis Colts at 18% reflect steady roster building but lingering questions around consistency and recent results. Tennessee Titans trail at 9.5%, buoyed by select defensive additions and a favorable schedule yet constrained by ongoing transition and lower projected win totals around 6.5. Trader consensus aligns closely with betting odds reflecting these roster and situational factors entering training camp.