In the open SC-01 Republican primary on June 9, trader consensus favors state Representative Mark Smith at 41.5% implied probability, driven by his local legislative experience, superior fundraising with over $500,000 cash on hand entering 2026, and recent endorsements from figures like Justin Myers and State Senator Tom Fernandez. Retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath trails at 27%, bolstered by his military background and Trump-aligned messaging, though he placed second in the April 16 Lowcountry congressional forum straw poll where Smith led 34%-29.5%. The crowded 14-candidate field, including former Gov. Mark Sanford's late entry, heightens runoff risks if no one exceeds 50%, with forums spotlighting immigration, spending, and infrastructure as undecided voters weigh name recognition and resources ahead of early voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-01 Republican Primary Winner
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Smith 46%
Alex Pelbath 30%
Sam McCown 13%
Jay Byars 9.6%
Mark Smith
46%
Alex Pelbath
30%
Sam McCown
13%
Jay Byars
10%
Jack Ellison
5%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
3%
Justin Myers
1%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Dan Brown
<1%
Mark Smith 46%
Alex Pelbath 30%
Sam McCown 13%
Jay Byars 9.6%
Mark Smith
46%
Alex Pelbath
30%
Sam McCown
13%
Jay Byars
10%
Jack Ellison
5%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
3%
Justin Myers
1%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Dan Brown
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open SC-01 Republican primary on June 9, trader consensus favors state Representative Mark Smith at 41.5% implied probability, driven by his local legislative experience, superior fundraising with over $500,000 cash on hand entering 2026, and recent endorsements from figures like Justin Myers and State Senator Tom Fernandez. Retired Air Force Lt. Col. Alex Pelbath trails at 27%, bolstered by his military background and Trump-aligned messaging, though he placed second in the April 16 Lowcountry congressional forum straw poll where Smith led 34%-29.5%. The crowded 14-candidate field, including former Gov. Mark Sanford's late entry, heightens runoff risks if no one exceeds 50%, with forums spotlighting immigration, spending, and infrastructure as undecided voters weigh name recognition and resources ahead of early voting.
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