Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by the Democratic Party of California's endorsement and superior cash on hand of over $2.5 million as of late March, reflecting his long tenure since 1998 in the D+17 leaning district. Challenger Eric Jones, a well-funded Democrat with $3.2 million raised and backing from progressive group Our Revolution, poses the main threat amid a crowded field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to advance given the partisan lean. No polls exist, but recent fundraising underscores the competitive Democratic matchup; ballots mail around May 4, with voter turnout and early voting key to securing the top two spots for November's general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-04 Primary Winners
CA-04 Primary Winners
$20,755 ปริมาณ
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
99%
Eric Jones
95%
Trevor Merrell
15%
Heath Fulkerson
9%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Sharon Brown
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
3%
John Wesley Tyler
45%
$20,755 ปริมาณ
Mike Thompson
$6,502 ปริมาณ
99%
Eric Jones
$4,052 ปริมาณ
95%
Trevor Merrell
$6,288 ปริมาณ
15%
Heath Fulkerson
$252 ปริมาณ
9%
Mandy Ghusar
$728 ปริมาณ
6%
Sharon Brown
$1,605 ปริมาณ
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 ปริมาณ
3%
John Wesley Tyler
$618 ปริมาณ
45%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by the Democratic Party of California's endorsement and superior cash on hand of over $2.5 million as of late March, reflecting his long tenure since 1998 in the D+17 leaning district. Challenger Eric Jones, a well-funded Democrat with $3.2 million raised and backing from progressive group Our Revolution, poses the main threat amid a crowded field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to advance given the partisan lean. No polls exist, but recent fundraising underscores the competitive Democratic matchup; ballots mail around May 4, with voter turnout and early voting key to securing the top two spots for November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,755วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by the Democratic Party of California's endorsement and superior cash on hand of over $2.5 million as of late March, reflecting his long tenure since 1998 in the D+17 leaning district. Challenger Eric Jones, a well-funded Democrat with $3.2 million raised and backing from progressive group Our Revolution, poses the main threat amid a crowded field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to advance given the partisan lean. No polls exist, but recent fundraising underscores the competitive Democratic matchup; ballots mail around May 4, with voter turnout and early voting key to securing the top two spots for November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,755วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson holds a strong position in California's 4th Congressional District's top-two primary on June 2, 2026, buoyed by the Democratic Party of California's endorsement and superior cash on hand of over $2.5 million as of late March, reflecting his long tenure since 1998 in the D+17 leaning district. Challenger Eric Jones, a well-funded Democrat with $3.2 million raised and backing from progressive group Our Revolution, poses the main threat amid a crowded field of six Republicans and one independent unlikely to advance given the partisan lean. No polls exist, but recent fundraising underscores the competitive Democratic matchup; ballots mail around May 4, with voter turnout and early voting key to securing the top two spots for November's general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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