**Competitive dynamics among frontier AI labs in agentic capabilities—tool use, computer control, multi-step workflows, and benchmarks like OSWorld, Terminal-Bench, and AA Agentic Index—drive the even market-implied odds.** As of mid-September 2026, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 frequently top or place near the top of agent leaderboards, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol close behind on reasoning and long-horizon tasks. Meta’s Muse Spark, xAI’s Grok 4.6, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Alibaba’s Qwen series deliver strong results in specific agent evals, while open-weight entries like Shanghai AI Lab’s Atria Dawn Preview lead verified subsets. Recent September releases and benchmark updates have kept the field tightly contested without a clear third-place consensus, leaving traders sensitive to any new model drops, safety framework shifts, or capability demonstrations before November resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAlibaba 26%
Google 26%
SpaceXAI 25%
DeepSeek 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Alibaba
26%
26%
SpaceXAI
25%
DeepSeek
25%
MiniMax
25%
Mistral
25%
Tencent
25%
Moonshot
24%
Anthropic
14%
Meta
14%
Nvidia
14%
Meituan
14%
Microsoft
14%
Z.ai
13%
ByteDance
13%
Baidu
13%
Amazon
13%
OpenAI
12%
Xiaomi
12%
Alibaba 26%
Google 26%
SpaceXAI 25%
DeepSeek 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Alibaba
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
SpaceXAI
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
DeepSeek
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
MiniMax
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
Mistral
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
Tencent
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
Moonshot
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
Anthropic
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Meta
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Nvidia
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Meituan
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Microsoft
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Z.ai
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
ByteDance
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
Baidu
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
Amazon
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
OpenAI
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
Xiaomi
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Competitive dynamics among frontier AI labs in agentic capabilities—tool use, computer control, multi-step workflows, and benchmarks like OSWorld, Terminal-Bench, and AA Agentic Index—drive the even market-implied odds.** As of mid-September 2026, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 frequently top or place near the top of agent leaderboards, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol close behind on reasoning and long-horizon tasks. Meta’s Muse Spark, xAI’s Grok 4.6, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Alibaba’s Qwen series deliver strong results in specific agent evals, while open-weight entries like Shanghai AI Lab’s Atria Dawn Preview lead verified subsets. Recent September releases and benchmark updates have kept the field tightly contested without a clear third-place consensus, leaving traders sensitive to any new model drops, safety framework shifts, or capability demonstrations before November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**Competitive dynamics among frontier AI labs in agentic capabilities—tool use, computer control, multi-step workflows, and benchmarks like OSWorld, Terminal-Bench, and AA Agentic Index—drive the even market-implied odds.** As of mid-September 2026, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 frequently top or place near the top of agent leaderboards, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol close behind on reasoning and long-horizon tasks. Meta’s Muse Spark, xAI’s Grok 4.6, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Alibaba’s Qwen series deliver strong results in specific agent evals, while open-weight entries like Shanghai AI Lab’s Atria Dawn Preview lead verified subsets. Recent September releases and benchmark updates have kept the field tightly contested without a clear third-place consensus, leaving traders sensitive to any new model drops, safety framework shifts, or capability demonstrations before November resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Competitive dynamics among frontier AI labs in agentic capabilities—tool use, computer control, multi-step workflows, and benchmarks like OSWorld, Terminal-Bench, and AA Agentic Index—drive the even market-implied odds.** As of mid-September 2026, Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 frequently top or place near the top of agent leaderboards, with OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra and GPT-5.6 Sol close behind on reasoning and long-horizon tasks. Meta’s Muse Spark, xAI’s Grok 4.6, Moonshot’s Kimi K3, and Alibaba’s Qwen series deliver strong results in specific agent evals, while open-weight entries like Shanghai AI Lab’s Atria Dawn Preview lead verified subsets. Recent September releases and benchmark updates have kept the field tightly contested without a clear third-place consensus, leaving traders sensitive to any new model drops, safety framework shifts, or capability demonstrations before November resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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