Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 57% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, bolstered by his two-decade tenure, superior fundraising from PACs exceeding $1.8 million, and track record delivering federal funds for Memphis housing, hospitals, and infrastructure. Challenger State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 39%, has surged via March polls showing a 45%-44% virtual tie, progressive endorsements from Indivisible Memphis and Justice Democrats, and a generational contrast—Cohen at 76 versus Pearson's 31—highlighted in an April 1 New York Times profile amid national Democratic debates on age and foreign policy stances like Israel aid. DeVante Hill trails at under 5% with minimal visibility. Upcoming candidate forums and early voting could shift dynamics in this closely contested primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
TN-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Steve Cohen 57%
Justin Pearson 39%
DeVante Hill 4.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
Steve Cohen
57%
Justin Pearson
39%
DeVante Hill
5%
Steve Cohen 57%
Justin Pearson 39%
DeVante Hill 4.9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 6, 2026
Steve Cohen
$4,679 ปริมาณ
57%
Justin Pearson
$1,515 ปริมาณ
39%
DeVante Hill
$393 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 57% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, bolstered by his two-decade tenure, superior fundraising from PACs exceeding $1.8 million, and track record delivering federal funds for Memphis housing, hospitals, and infrastructure. Challenger State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 39%, has surged via March polls showing a 45%-44% virtual tie, progressive endorsements from Indivisible Memphis and Justice Democrats, and a generational contrast—Cohen at 76 versus Pearson's 31—highlighted in an April 1 New York Times profile amid national Democratic debates on age and foreign policy stances like Israel aid. DeVante Hill trails at under 5% with minimal visibility. Upcoming candidate forums and early voting could shift dynamics in this closely contested primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,588วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 57% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, bolstered by his two-decade tenure, superior fundraising from PACs exceeding $1.8 million, and track record delivering federal funds for Memphis housing, hospitals, and infrastructure. Challenger State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 39%, has surged via March polls showing a 45%-44% virtual tie, progressive endorsements from Indivisible Memphis and Justice Democrats, and a generational contrast—Cohen at 76 versus Pearson's 31—highlighted in an April 1 New York Times profile amid national Democratic debates on age and foreign policy stances like Israel aid. DeVante Hill trails at under 5% with minimal visibility. Upcoming candidate forums and early voting could shift dynamics in this closely contested primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 6, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,588วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 9, 2026, 11:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen holds a trader consensus edge at 57% implied probability in the TN-09 Democratic primary on August 6, bolstered by his two-decade tenure, superior fundraising from PACs exceeding $1.8 million, and track record delivering federal funds for Memphis housing, hospitals, and infrastructure. Challenger State Rep. Justin Pearson, at 39%, has surged via March polls showing a 45%-44% virtual tie, progressive endorsements from Indivisible Memphis and Justice Democrats, and a generational contrast—Cohen at 76 versus Pearson's 31—highlighted in an April 1 New York Times profile amid national Democratic debates on age and foreign policy stances like Israel aid. DeVante Hill trails at under 5% with minimal visibility. Upcoming candidate forums and early voting could shift dynamics in this closely contested primary.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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