Everett Jackson's commanding lead in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District, topping Sholdon Daniels by more than 10 percentage points among four candidates, drives his 82% trader consensus to win the May 26 runoff that will determine the GOP nominee. Daniels advanced as runner-up but lags at 15% implied probability despite vastly superior fundraising—over $350,000 raised versus Jackson's $16,000—highlighting trader emphasis on first-round momentum over cash in this low-turnout contest. Eliminated hopefuls Gregor Heise (5%) and Nils Walker (1%) garner minimal support. No post-primary polls have surfaced, with early voting set for May 18–22 potentially swaying the outcome in the safely Democratic district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEverett Jackson 81.5%
Sholdon Daniels 15%
Gregor Heise 4.7%
Nils Walker <1%
$22,761 ปริมาณ
$22,761 ปริมาณ
May 26, 2026
Everett Jackson
82%
Sholdon Daniels
15%
Gregor Heise
5%
Nils Walker
1%
Everett Jackson 81.5%
Sholdon Daniels 15%
Gregor Heise 4.7%
Nils Walker <1%
$22,761 ปริมาณ
$22,761 ปริมาณ
May 26, 2026
Everett Jackson
$2,281 ปริมาณ
82%
Sholdon Daniels
$9,204 ปริมาณ
15%
Gregor Heise
$10,117 ปริมาณ
5%
Nils Walker
$1,160 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's commanding lead in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District, topping Sholdon Daniels by more than 10 percentage points among four candidates, drives his 82% trader consensus to win the May 26 runoff that will determine the GOP nominee. Daniels advanced as runner-up but lags at 15% implied probability despite vastly superior fundraising—over $350,000 raised versus Jackson's $16,000—highlighting trader emphasis on first-round momentum over cash in this low-turnout contest. Eliminated hopefuls Gregor Heise (5%) and Nils Walker (1%) garner minimal support. No post-primary polls have surfaced, with early voting set for May 18–22 potentially swaying the outcome in the safely Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,761วันสิ้นสุด
May 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's commanding lead in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District, topping Sholdon Daniels by more than 10 percentage points among four candidates, drives his 82% trader consensus to win the May 26 runoff that will determine the GOP nominee. Daniels advanced as runner-up but lags at 15% implied probability despite vastly superior fundraising—over $350,000 raised versus Jackson's $16,000—highlighting trader emphasis on first-round momentum over cash in this low-turnout contest. Eliminated hopefuls Gregor Heise (5%) and Nils Walker (1%) garner minimal support. No post-primary polls have surfaced, with early voting set for May 18–22 potentially swaying the outcome in the safely Democratic district.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,761วันสิ้นสุด
May 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Everett Jackson's commanding lead in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District, topping Sholdon Daniels by more than 10 percentage points among four candidates, drives his 82% trader consensus to win the May 26 runoff that will determine the GOP nominee. Daniels advanced as runner-up but lags at 15% implied probability despite vastly superior fundraising—over $350,000 raised versus Jackson's $16,000—highlighting trader emphasis on first-round momentum over cash in this low-turnout contest. Eliminated hopefuls Gregor Heise (5%) and Nils Walker (1%) garner minimal support. No post-primary polls have surfaced, with early voting set for May 18–22 potentially swaying the outcome in the safely Democratic district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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