Former Congressman Ben McAdams commands trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his lead in a March Data for Progress poll (36% to Nate Blouin's 23% on initial ballot) and name recognition from his prior service. Blouin's 21.5% share reflects his strong informed-ballot showing (40-39%) among progressives but recent damage from backlash over decade-old social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, prompting no-dropout vows amid attack ads. State Sen. Kathleen Riebe's weekend dropout and endorsement of McAdams, plus his first qualification for the ballot, have consolidated establishment support in the newly blue district, sidelining lower-polling challengers like Brian King.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBen McAdams 74%
Nate Blouin 22%
Brian King <1%
Kathleen Riebe <1%
$25,079 ปริมาณ
$25,079 ปริมาณ
Ben McAdams
74%
Nate Blouin
22%
Brian King
1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
Ben McAdams 74%
Nate Blouin 22%
Brian King <1%
Kathleen Riebe <1%
$25,079 ปริมาณ
$25,079 ปริมาณ
Ben McAdams
74%
Nate Blouin
22%
Brian King
1%
Kathleen Riebe
<1%
Jenny Wilson
<1%
Erin Mendenhall
<1%
Luz Escamilla
<1%
Caroline Gleich
<1%
Kael Weston
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Congressman Ben McAdams commands trader consensus at 74% implied probability to win Utah's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on June 23, driven by his lead in a March Data for Progress poll (36% to Nate Blouin's 23% on initial ballot) and name recognition from his prior service. Blouin's 21.5% share reflects his strong informed-ballot showing (40-39%) among progressives but recent damage from backlash over decade-old social media posts mocking Mormons and joking about sexual assault, prompting no-dropout vows amid attack ads. State Sen. Kathleen Riebe's weekend dropout and endorsement of McAdams, plus his first qualification for the ballot, have consolidated establishment support in the newly blue district, sidelining lower-polling challengers like Brian King.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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