Trader consensus on Polymarket's binary markets for specific terms like "Ceasefire," "Hezbollah," "OpenAI/ChatGPT," and "Strait of Hormuz" has collapsed to near-zero implied probabilities as the April 27-May 3 window closes, with no matches in New York Times front-page headlines per print editions at nytimes.pressreader.com. Front pages instead led with the April 27 armed attack at the White House Correspondents' Dinner—"Confusion and Fright Inside the Washington Hilton Ballroom" and "Grievance Propelled Gala Attack Suspect"—amid political violence fatigue, Trump administration moves like the Comey indictment and FCC ABC probe, Supreme Court clashes on voting rights and TPS, Iran war impatience sans key phrases, and Spirit Airlines' shutdown. Resolution imminent May 3 tests strict headline criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhat will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (Apr 27 - May 3)
$43,739 ปริมาณ
May 3, 2026
Iran
Yes
Donald / Trump
Yes
Maduro
No
Powell
Yes
Warsh
No
Hegseth
Yes
Bitcoin
No
China
Yes
Ukraine
No
Russia
No
Israel
Yes
Hezbollah
No
Artificial Intelligence / AI
Yes
Deal
Yes
Ceasefire
No
Oil
Yes
S&P
No
Stock
Yes
Elon / Musk
No
Anthropic / Claude
No
OpenAI / ChatGPT
No
Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomenei
No
Strait of Hormuz / Strait / Hormuz
No
Zohran / Mamdani
No
$43,739 ปริมาณ
Iran
$5,163 ปริมาณ
Yes
Donald / Trump
$2,645 ปริมาณ
Yes
Maduro
$2,867 ปริมาณ
No
Powell
$600 ปริมาณ
Yes
Warsh
$3,757 ปริมาณ
No
Hegseth
$337 ปริมาณ
Yes
Bitcoin
$3,232 ปริมาณ
No
China
$1,904 ปริมาณ
Yes
Ukraine
$1,616 ปริมาณ
No
Russia
$2,143 ปริมาณ
No
Israel
$615 ปริมาณ
Yes
Hezbollah
$1,081 ปริมาณ
No
Artificial Intelligence / AI
$1,035 ปริมาณ
Yes
Deal
$1,237 ปริมาณ
Yes
Ceasefire
$1,450 ปริมาณ
No
Oil
$983 ปริมาณ
Yes
S&P
$1,444 ปริมาณ
No
Stock
$2,994 ปริมาณ
Yes
Elon / Musk
$2,369 ปริมาณ
No
Anthropic / Claude
$695 ปริมาณ
No
OpenAI / ChatGPT
$874 ปริมาณ
No
Ayatollah / Khamenei / Khomenei
$1,603 ปริมาณ
No
Strait of Hormuz / Strait / Hormuz
$1,466 ปริมาณ
No
Zohran / Mamdani
$1,632 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.Trader consensus on Polymarket's binary markets for specific terms like "Ceasefire," "Hezbollah," "OpenAI/ChatGPT," and "Strait of Hormuz" has collapsed to near-zero implied probabilities as the April 27-May 3 window closes, with no matches in New York Times front-page headlines per print editions at nytimes.pressreader.com. Front pages instead led with the April 27 armed attack at the White House Correspondents' Dinner—"Confusion and Fright Inside the Washington Hilton Ballroom" and "Grievance Propelled Gala Attack Suspect"—amid political violence fatigue, Trump administration moves like the Comey indictment and FCC ABC probe, Supreme Court clashes on voting rights and TPS, Iran war impatience sans key phrases, and Spirit Airlines' shutdown. Resolution imminent May 3 tests strict headline criteria.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,739วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.Trader consensus on Polymarket's binary markets for specific terms like "Ceasefire," "Hezbollah," "OpenAI/ChatGPT," and "Strait of Hormuz" has collapsed to near-zero implied probabilities as the April 27-May 3 window closes, with no matches in New York Times front-page headlines per print editions at nytimes.pressreader.com. Front pages instead led with the April 27 armed attack at the White House Correspondents' Dinner—"Confusion and Fright Inside the Washington Hilton Ballroom" and "Grievance Propelled Gala Attack Suspect"—amid political violence fatigue, Trump administration moves like the Comey indictment and FCC ABC probe, Supreme Court clashes on voting rights and TPS, Iran war impatience sans key phrases, and Spirit Airlines' shutdown. Resolution imminent May 3 tests strict headline criteria.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed term is included in a headline on the New York Times front page between April 27 and May 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
A headline is defined as the bolded or enlarged text directly preceding each article, previewing the article’s content and typically separated from the article’s text by a black line and byline. The primary headline for each story is the headline for that story with the largest text, typically appearing in bold font and above any other headlines or text for that article.
Sub-headlines, defined as additional bolded or enlarged text not separated from the primary headline by any text, will count, whether they appear before the byline or are partially surrounded by the article text but still adjacent to the primary headline. Pull quotes, however, or any bolded text not adjacent to the primary headline, will not count.
Banner headlines, defined as front-page headlines bordered on the sides only by white space, will count.
Image captions, article text, or any other text that does not constitute a headline will not qualify.
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variations in capitalization, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will not count.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all slang forms, will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
If the listed term appears as part of a compound word, use of that compound word will qualify, provided the listed term remains a distinct component of the compound. This does not include suffixes, prefixes, alternative tenses, or grammatical variations that alter the root word. For example, if the listed term is “joy,” “killjoy” qualifies but “joyful” does not. If the listed term is “sun,” “sunflower” qualifies but “sunny” does not.
If the listed term is part of a hyphenated compound, use of that hyphenated compound will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “NATO,” “pro-NATO” and “anti-NATO” qualify.
If the listed term has non-standard transliterations into English, such transliterations will qualify if they are phonetically equivalent. For example, if the listed term is “Erdogan,” “Erdoğan” qualifies. If the listed term is “Zelensky,” “Zelenskiy” qualifies.
If the listed term is an abbreviation, periodized forms of that abbreviation will qualify. For example, if the listed term is “AI,” “A.I.” qualifies. However, extraneous symbols inserted into a word (e.g. r@d1cal for “radical”) will disqualify it from counting toward a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times daily newspaper, including images of the front page posted daily at: https://nytimes.pressreader.com/the-new-york-times/.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,739วันสิ้นสุด
May 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket's binary markets for specific terms like "Ceasefire," "Hezbollah," "OpenAI/ChatGPT," and "Strait of Hormuz" has collapsed to near-zero implied probabilities as the April 27-May 3 window closes, with no matches in New York Times front-page headlines per print editions at nytimes.pressreader.com. Front pages instead led with the April 27 armed attack at the White House Correspondents' Dinner—"Confusion and Fright Inside the Washington Hilton Ballroom" and "Grievance Propelled Gala Attack Suspect"—amid political violence fatigue, Trump administration moves like the Comey indictment and FCC ABC probe, Supreme Court clashes on voting rights and TPS, Iran war impatience sans key phrases, and Spirit Airlines' shutdown. Resolution imminent May 3 tests strict headline criteria.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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