Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June and then July 2026, continue to drive the evenly matched Polymarket odds across late-August through early-November windows. The model remains in partner testing after extra tuning for reasoning and agentic performance to match rivals like OpenAI’s latest releases, while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants shipped in July. Traders see few firm signals on final certification or public rollout, with training already underway on Gemini 4 adding timeline uncertainty. Key swing factors include any early-October developer conference updates, internal benchmark results, or sudden competitive pressure that could accelerate or further postpone the flagship Pro launch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSeptember 7–September 13 27%
September 28–October 4 26%
October 5–October 11 26%
October 26–November 1 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
Prior to August 31
25%
August 31–September 6
24%
September 7–September 13
27%
September 14–September 20
25%
September 21–September 27
23%
September 28–October 4
26%
October 5–October 11
26%
October 12–October 18
22%
October 19–October 25
22%
October 26–November 1
26%
No release by November 1
22%
September 7–September 13 27%
September 28–October 4 26%
October 5–October 11 26%
October 26–November 1 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
Prior to August 31
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
August 31–September 6
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
September 7–September 13
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
September 14–September 20
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
September 21–September 27
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
September 28–October 4
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
October 5–October 11
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
October 12–October 18
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
October 19–October 25
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
October 26–November 1
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
No release by November 1
$55 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June and then July 2026, continue to drive the evenly matched Polymarket odds across late-August through early-November windows. The model remains in partner testing after extra tuning for reasoning and agentic performance to match rivals like OpenAI’s latest releases, while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants shipped in July. Traders see few firm signals on final certification or public rollout, with training already underway on Gemini 4 adding timeline uncertainty. Key swing factors include any early-October developer conference updates, internal benchmark results, or sudden competitive pressure that could accelerate or further postpone the flagship Pro launch.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June and then July 2026, continue to drive the evenly matched Polymarket odds across late-August through early-November windows. The model remains in partner testing after extra tuning for reasoning and agentic performance to match rivals like OpenAI’s latest releases, while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants shipped in July. Traders see few firm signals on final certification or public rollout, with training already underway on Gemini 4 adding timeline uncertainty. Key swing factors include any early-October developer conference updates, internal benchmark results, or sudden competitive pressure that could accelerate or further postpone the flagship Pro launch.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$55วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s ongoing delays with Gemini 3.5 Pro, originally targeted for June and then July 2026, continue to drive the evenly matched Polymarket odds across late-August through early-November windows. The model remains in partner testing after extra tuning for reasoning and agentic performance to match rivals like OpenAI’s latest releases, while lighter Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash variants shipped in July. Traders see few firm signals on final certification or public rollout, with training already underway on Gemini 4 adding timeline uncertainty. Key swing factors include any early-October developer conference updates, internal benchmark results, or sudden competitive pressure that could accelerate or further postpone the flagship Pro launch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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