Traders view the third-place spot in Text Arena Math rankings by late October as highly uncertain, with multiple labs holding closely matched implied probabilities around 20–36%. This stems from rapid progress in large language model reasoning capabilities, where incremental gains in mathematical benchmarks can reorder standings quickly. Chinese labs such as Alibaba, DeepSeek, and Moonshot compete closely with Google and OpenAI due to targeted investments in symbolic and multi-step problem-solving architectures. Differentiating factors include access to specialized training datasets, open releases that enable community benchmarking, and compute scaling for complex proofs. New model drops or arena updates over the next ten weeks remain the primary swing catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
DeepSeek 55%
Anthropic 25%
SpaceXAI 24%
Google 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
DeepSeek
55%
Anthropic
25%
SpaceXAI
24%
25%
OpenAI
23%
Moonshot
15%
Tencent
19%
Baidu
24%
Xiaomi
17%
Meta
14%
Z.ai
6%
Bytedance
6%
Microsoft
6%
MiniMax
6%
Meituan
6%
Mistral
6%
Nvidia
5%
StepFun
4%
Amazon
1%
Alibaba
39%
DeepSeek 55%
Anthropic 25%
SpaceXAI 24%
Google 23%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
DeepSeek
$49 ปริมาณ
55%
Anthropic
$69 ปริมาณ
25%
SpaceXAI
$49 ปริมาณ
24%
$45 ปริมาณ
25%
OpenAI
$69 ปริมาณ
23%
Moonshot
$79 ปริมาณ
15%
Tencent
$49 ปริมาณ
19%
Baidu
$79 ปริมาณ
24%
Xiaomi
$69 ปริมาณ
17%
Meta
$69 ปริมาณ
14%
Z.ai
$69 ปริมาณ
6%
Bytedance
$130 ปริมาณ
6%
Microsoft
$92 ปริมาณ
6%
MiniMax
$134 ปริมาณ
6%
Meituan
$149 ปริมาณ
6%
Mistral
$142 ปริมาณ
6%
Nvidia
$116 ปริมาณ
5%
StepFun
$60 ปริมาณ
4%
Amazon
$69 ปริมาณ
1%
Alibaba
$79 ปริมาณ
39%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the third-place spot in Text Arena Math rankings by late October as highly uncertain, with multiple labs holding closely matched implied probabilities around 20–36%. This stems from rapid progress in large language model reasoning capabilities, where incremental gains in mathematical benchmarks can reorder standings quickly. Chinese labs such as Alibaba, DeepSeek, and Moonshot compete closely with Google and OpenAI due to targeted investments in symbolic and multi-step problem-solving architectures. Differentiating factors include access to specialized training datasets, open releases that enable community benchmarking, and compute scaling for complex proofs. New model drops or arena updates over the next ten weeks remain the primary swing catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,667วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders view the third-place spot in Text Arena Math rankings by late October as highly uncertain, with multiple labs holding closely matched implied probabilities around 20–36%. This stems from rapid progress in large language model reasoning capabilities, where incremental gains in mathematical benchmarks can reorder standings quickly. Chinese labs such as Alibaba, DeepSeek, and Moonshot compete closely with Google and OpenAI due to targeted investments in symbolic and multi-step problem-solving architectures. Differentiating factors include access to specialized training datasets, open releases that enable community benchmarking, and compute scaling for complex proofs. New model drops or arena updates over the next ten weeks remain the primary swing catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,667วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the third-place spot in Text Arena Math rankings by late October as highly uncertain, with multiple labs holding closely matched implied probabilities around 20–36%. This stems from rapid progress in large language model reasoning capabilities, where incremental gains in mathematical benchmarks can reorder standings quickly. Chinese labs such as Alibaba, DeepSeek, and Moonshot compete closely with Google and OpenAI due to targeted investments in symbolic and multi-step problem-solving architectures. Differentiating factors include access to specialized training datasets, open releases that enable community benchmarking, and compute scaling for complex proofs. New model drops or arena updates over the next ten weeks remain the primary swing catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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