Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 release on July 24 has propelled its models to the top of multiple 2026 benchmarks, including intelligence and agentic indexes, intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol family launched earlier that month. Performance across leaderboards shows tight clustering among Anthropic, OpenAI, Google DeepMind's Gemini variants, xAI's Grok updates, and Chinese labs like Moonshot's Kimi K3, with rapid iteration on reasoning, coding, and agent capabilities driving trader focus. Key dynamics include converging frontier large language model scores, pricing shifts, and regulatory influences on access. Traders monitor upcoming releases and benchmark updates through year-end, as small gains in specialized evaluations could shift which company holds the leading position by December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$86,002 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
OpenAI
30%
24%
Moonshot
13%
xAI
13%
Meta
12%
ByteDance
10%
Z.ai
8%
DeepSeek
8%
Amazon
8%
Microsoft
8%
Alibaba
7%
Baidu
7%
Meituan
7%
Mistral
3%
$86,002 ปริมาณ
OpenAI
$18,434 ปริมาณ
30%
$16,612 ปริมาณ
24%
Moonshot
$3,823 ปริมาณ
13%
xAI
$8,291 ปริมาณ
13%
Meta
$12,119 ปริมาณ
12%
ByteDance
$2,392 ปริมาณ
10%
Z.ai
$2,479 ปริมาณ
8%
DeepSeek
$2,941 ปริมาณ
8%
Amazon
$2,727 ปริมาณ
8%
Microsoft
$3,469 ปริมาณ
8%
Alibaba
$2,120 ปริมาณ
7%
Baidu
$1,891 ปริมาณ
7%
Meituan
$1,986 ปริมาณ
7%
Mistral
$6,718 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 release on July 24 has propelled its models to the top of multiple 2026 benchmarks, including intelligence and agentic indexes, intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol family launched earlier that month. Performance across leaderboards shows tight clustering among Anthropic, OpenAI, Google DeepMind's Gemini variants, xAI's Grok updates, and Chinese labs like Moonshot's Kimi K3, with rapid iteration on reasoning, coding, and agent capabilities driving trader focus. Key dynamics include converging frontier large language model scores, pricing shifts, and regulatory influences on access. Traders monitor upcoming releases and benchmark updates through year-end, as small gains in specialized evaluations could shift which company holds the leading position by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$86,002วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 release on July 24 has propelled its models to the top of multiple 2026 benchmarks, including intelligence and agentic indexes, intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol family launched earlier that month. Performance across leaderboards shows tight clustering among Anthropic, OpenAI, Google DeepMind's Gemini variants, xAI's Grok updates, and Chinese labs like Moonshot's Kimi K3, with rapid iteration on reasoning, coding, and agent capabilities driving trader focus. Key dynamics include converging frontier large language model scores, pricing shifts, and regulatory influences on access. Traders monitor upcoming releases and benchmark updates through year-end, as small gains in specialized evaluations could shift which company holds the leading position by December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$86,002วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic's recent Claude Opus 5 release on July 24 has propelled its models to the top of multiple 2026 benchmarks, including intelligence and agentic indexes, intensifying competition with OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol family launched earlier that month. Performance across leaderboards shows tight clustering among Anthropic, OpenAI, Google DeepMind's Gemini variants, xAI's Grok updates, and Chinese labs like Moonshot's Kimi K3, with rapid iteration on reasoning, coding, and agent capabilities driving trader focus. Key dynamics include converging frontier large language model scores, pricing shifts, and regulatory influences on access. Traders monitor upcoming releases and benchmark updates through year-end, as small gains in specialized evaluations could shift which company holds the leading position by December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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