Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 62.5% implied probability due to its record-shattering presales, which reached $50 million domestically by early September—far ahead of prior benchmarks—and a trailer that amassed over 500 million views. This positions the December 18 MCU crossover as the frontrunner for 2026’s biggest opening weekend despite sharing the date with Dune: Part Three, which holds IMAX exclusivity. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after its July 31 release delivered a franchise-record $360 million domestic debut and over $2.4 billion globally, yet its window has closed. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1% each, with the former’s November 20 launch lacking comparable scale and the latter facing direct competition. Doomsday’s December timing and guild-level anticipation provide the key swing factor for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$165,125 ปริมาณ
$165,125 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$165,125 ปริมาณ
$165,125 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$71,045 ปริมาณ
63%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$61,144 ปริมาณ
37%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 62.5% implied probability due to its record-shattering presales, which reached $50 million domestically by early September—far ahead of prior benchmarks—and a trailer that amassed over 500 million views. This positions the December 18 MCU crossover as the frontrunner for 2026’s biggest opening weekend despite sharing the date with Dune: Part Three, which holds IMAX exclusivity. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after its July 31 release delivered a franchise-record $360 million domestic debut and over $2.4 billion globally, yet its window has closed. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1% each, with the former’s November 20 launch lacking comparable scale and the latter facing direct competition. Doomsday’s December timing and guild-level anticipation provide the key swing factor for traders.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$165,125วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 62.5% implied probability due to its record-shattering presales, which reached $50 million domestically by early September—far ahead of prior benchmarks—and a trailer that amassed over 500 million views. This positions the December 18 MCU crossover as the frontrunner for 2026’s biggest opening weekend despite sharing the date with Dune: Part Three, which holds IMAX exclusivity. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after its July 31 release delivered a franchise-record $360 million domestic debut and over $2.4 billion globally, yet its window has closed. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1% each, with the former’s November 20 launch lacking comparable scale and the latter facing direct competition. Doomsday’s December timing and guild-level anticipation provide the key swing factor for traders.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$165,125วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 62.5% implied probability due to its record-shattering presales, which reached $50 million domestically by early September—far ahead of prior benchmarks—and a trailer that amassed over 500 million views. This positions the December 18 MCU crossover as the frontrunner for 2026’s biggest opening weekend despite sharing the date with Dune: Part Three, which holds IMAX exclusivity. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 36.5% after its July 31 release delivered a franchise-record $360 million domestic debut and over $2.4 billion globally, yet its window has closed. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah remain longshots at 0.1% each, with the former’s November 20 launch lacking comparable scale and the latter facing direct competition. Doomsday’s December timing and guild-level anticipation provide the key swing factor for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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