Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 62% implied probability due to its record $50 million in domestic presales three months ahead of its December 18 release, outpacing prior Marvel benchmarks and signaling exceptional holiday demand despite sharing the weekend with Dune: Part Three. Strong early tracking points to a $260–300 million domestic opening, bolstered by MCU hype and extended Christmas playtime that could inflate its first-week gross. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 38% after posting a record $360 million domestic debut in July, yet its summer timing limits upside compared to Doomsday’s seasonal advantage. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds given later November and shared December slots with less comparable pre-release momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$157,362 ปริมาณ
$157,362 ปริมาณ
Avengers: Doomsday
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$157,362 ปริมาณ
$157,362 ปริมาณ
Avengers: Doomsday
62%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
35%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 62% implied probability due to its record $50 million in domestic presales three months ahead of its December 18 release, outpacing prior Marvel benchmarks and signaling exceptional holiday demand despite sharing the weekend with Dune: Part Three. Strong early tracking points to a $260–300 million domestic opening, bolstered by MCU hype and extended Christmas playtime that could inflate its first-week gross. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 38% after posting a record $360 million domestic debut in July, yet its summer timing limits upside compared to Doomsday’s seasonal advantage. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register minimal odds given later November and shared December slots with less comparable pre-release momentum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย