**Mid-decade redistricting has produced new congressional maps in ten states for the 2026 midterms through legislative action, voter approval, commissions, and court rulings.** Texas initiated the cycle in 2025 after presidential encouragement, prompting Democratic countermeasures including California’s voter-passed map; the Supreme Court’s April 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision reduced Voting Rights Act constraints on majority-minority districts, enabling further Republican-led changes in Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Tennessee, and others. Ohio’s commission and North Carolina and Utah legislatures also enacted revisions. Recent Supreme Court orders in Missouri have blocked its new map, reverting the state to prior lines and illustrating how litigation near ballot deadlines continues to shape outcomes. Traders assign high probabilities to states with finalized enactments and lower odds where referendums or pending suits create uncertainty ahead of November voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$410,071 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
California
97%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
93%
Utah
91%
Florida
99%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
<1%
Virginia
4%
Alabama
87%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
3%
Kansas
4%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
4%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
4%
New York
3%
Maryland
5%
Wisconsin
3%
$410,071 ปริมาณ
California
$17,232 ปริมาณ
97%
Texas
$19,857 ปริมาณ
98%
North Carolina
$11,939 ปริมาณ
96%
Ohio
$7,407 ปริมาณ
93%
Utah
$95,360 ปริมาณ
91%
Florida
$7,335 ปริมาณ
99%
Louisiana
$16,778 ปริมาณ
92%
Missouri
$13,789 ปริมาณ
<1%
Virginia
$10,332 ปริมาณ
4%
Alabama
$18,541 ปริมาณ
87%
South Carolina
$28,897 ปริมาณ
<1%
Georgia
$8,962 ปริมาณ
3%
Kansas
$8,068 ปริมาณ
4%
New Jersey
$6,154 ปริมาณ
4%
Indiana
$34,497 ปริมาณ
5%
Washington
$10,149 ปริมาณ
3%
Nebraska
$7,515 ปริมาณ
4%
Illinois
$11,855 ปริมาณ
3%
Minnesota
$16,194 ปริมาณ
4%
New York
$19,923 ปริมาณ
3%
Maryland
$16,339 ปริมาณ
5%
Wisconsin
$22,948 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Mid-decade redistricting has produced new congressional maps in ten states for the 2026 midterms through legislative action, voter approval, commissions, and court rulings.** Texas initiated the cycle in 2025 after presidential encouragement, prompting Democratic countermeasures including California’s voter-passed map; the Supreme Court’s April 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision reduced Voting Rights Act constraints on majority-minority districts, enabling further Republican-led changes in Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Tennessee, and others. Ohio’s commission and North Carolina and Utah legislatures also enacted revisions. Recent Supreme Court orders in Missouri have blocked its new map, reverting the state to prior lines and illustrating how litigation near ballot deadlines continues to shape outcomes. Traders assign high probabilities to states with finalized enactments and lower odds where referendums or pending suits create uncertainty ahead of November voting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$410,071วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.**Mid-decade redistricting has produced new congressional maps in ten states for the 2026 midterms through legislative action, voter approval, commissions, and court rulings.** Texas initiated the cycle in 2025 after presidential encouragement, prompting Democratic countermeasures including California’s voter-passed map; the Supreme Court’s April 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision reduced Voting Rights Act constraints on majority-minority districts, enabling further Republican-led changes in Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Tennessee, and others. Ohio’s commission and North Carolina and Utah legislatures also enacted revisions. Recent Supreme Court orders in Missouri have blocked its new map, reverting the state to prior lines and illustrating how litigation near ballot deadlines continues to shape outcomes. Traders assign high probabilities to states with finalized enactments and lower odds where referendums or pending suits create uncertainty ahead of November voting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$410,071วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...**Mid-decade redistricting has produced new congressional maps in ten states for the 2026 midterms through legislative action, voter approval, commissions, and court rulings.** Texas initiated the cycle in 2025 after presidential encouragement, prompting Democratic countermeasures including California’s voter-passed map; the Supreme Court’s April 2026 Louisiana v. Callais decision reduced Voting Rights Act constraints on majority-minority districts, enabling further Republican-led changes in Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, Tennessee, and others. Ohio’s commission and North Carolina and Utah legislatures also enacted revisions. Recent Supreme Court orders in Missouri have blocked its new map, reverting the state to prior lines and illustrating how litigation near ballot deadlines continues to shape outcomes. Traders assign high probabilities to states with finalized enactments and lower odds where referendums or pending suits create uncertainty ahead of November voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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