Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty at 99.8% for "Yes," driven by Ye's (the artist formerly known as Kanye West) highly active X presence, including a fresh post just hours ago on April 29 defending Donda 2's sales amid fan discussions. This follows recent announcements like postponing his Marseille show on April 15 and teasing album Bully, underscoring his pattern of frequent, impulsive social media engagement on music, tours, and personal amends. With real capital backing this skin-in-the-game view, traders see little barrier to another post by April 30 given his irregular but persistent posting rhythm. Realistic upsets remain slim: a sudden account deactivation (as in early 2025), platform suspension for controversial content, or an unannounced hiatus amid ongoing controversies.