Ukrainian forces lost control of Uspenivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast to Russian advances in late 2025, with DeepState mapping and frontline reports confirming Russian occupation amid intense fighting near Huliaipole and Pavlivka. As of September 2026, ISW assessments show Russian offensive momentum has slowed sharply since March, with near-zero net territorial gains and Ukrainian counterattacks succeeding in sectors such as Oleksandrivka (over 400 square kilometers liberated since January) and parts of Zaporizhzhia. No verified Ukrainian re-entry or recapture of Uspenivka territory has occurred in recent months. Trader consensus prices low probabilities for near-term re-entry due to entrenched Russian defensive lines, Ukrainian focus on disrupting logistics via long-range strikes, and the broader pattern of incremental rather than rapid ground advances on this axis. Scheduled Russian mobilization efforts after September elections and Ukrainian defensive priorities in Donetsk could further influence the pace of any localized shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
$196,135 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
28%
September 30
12%
$196,135 ปริมาณ
December 31
$25,125 ปริมาณ
28%
September 30
$33,852 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Ukrainian forces lost control of Uspenivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast to Russian advances in late 2025, with DeepState mapping and frontline reports confirming Russian occupation amid intense fighting near Huliaipole and Pavlivka. As of September 2026, ISW assessments show Russian offensive momentum has slowed sharply since March, with near-zero net territorial gains and Ukrainian counterattacks succeeding in sectors such as Oleksandrivka (over 400 square kilometers liberated since January) and parts of Zaporizhzhia. No verified Ukrainian re-entry or recapture of Uspenivka territory has occurred in recent months. Trader consensus prices low probabilities for near-term re-entry due to entrenched Russian defensive lines, Ukrainian focus on disrupting logistics via long-range strikes, and the broader pattern of incremental rather than rapid ground advances on this axis. Scheduled Russian mobilization efforts after September elections and Ukrainian defensive priorities in Donetsk could further influence the pace of any localized shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 27, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$196,135วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 6:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Ukrainian forces lost control of Uspenivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast to Russian advances in late 2025, with DeepState mapping and frontline reports confirming Russian occupation amid intense fighting near Huliaipole and Pavlivka. As of September 2026, ISW assessments show Russian offensive momentum has slowed sharply since March, with near-zero net territorial gains and Ukrainian counterattacks succeeding in sectors such as Oleksandrivka (over 400 square kilometers liberated since January) and parts of Zaporizhzhia. No verified Ukrainian re-entry or recapture of Uspenivka territory has occurred in recent months. Trader consensus prices low probabilities for near-term re-entry due to entrenched Russian defensive lines, Ukrainian focus on disrupting logistics via long-range strikes, and the broader pattern of incremental rather than rapid ground advances on this axis. Scheduled Russian mobilization efforts after September elections and Ukrainian defensive priorities in Donetsk could further influence the pace of any localized shifts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$196,135วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 27, 2026, 6:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces lost control of Uspenivka in Zaporizhzhia Oblast to Russian advances in late 2025, with DeepState mapping and frontline reports confirming Russian occupation amid intense fighting near Huliaipole and Pavlivka. As of September 2026, ISW assessments show Russian offensive momentum has slowed sharply since March, with near-zero net territorial gains and Ukrainian counterattacks succeeding in sectors such as Oleksandrivka (over 400 square kilometers liberated since January) and parts of Zaporizhzhia. No verified Ukrainian re-entry or recapture of Uspenivka territory has occurred in recent months. Trader consensus prices low probabilities for near-term re-entry due to entrenched Russian defensive lines, Ukrainian focus on disrupting logistics via long-range strikes, and the broader pattern of incremental rather than rapid ground advances on this axis. Scheduled Russian mobilization efforts after September elections and Ukrainian defensive priorities in Donetsk could further influence the pace of any localized shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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